Small area population prediction via hierarchical models - ARCHIVED

Articles and reports: 12-001-X200900211042

Description:

This paper proposes an approach for small area prediction based on data obtained from periodic surveys and censuses. We apply our approach to obtain population predictions for the municipalities not sampled in the Brazilian annual Household Survey (PNAD), as well as to increase the precision of the design-based estimates obtained for the sampled municipalities. In addition to the data provided by the PNAD, we use census demographic data from 1991 and 2000, as well as a complete population count conducted in 1996. Hierarchically non-structured and spatially structured growth models that gain strength from all the sampled municipalities are proposed and compared.

Issue Number: 2009002
Author(s): Migon, Helio S.; Moura, Fernando A.S.; Souza, Debora F.

Main Product: Survey Methodology

FormatRelease dateMore information
PDFDecember 23, 2009