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Program
"Microsimulation: Bridging Data and Policy"
June 8th to 10th, 2009Government Conference Centre
2 Rideau Street
Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, K1N 8X5
Day 3 - Wednesday, June 10
| Main Hall | 09:00 – 09:45 | Keynote Speaker Professor Nigel Gilbert, Professor of Sociology at the University of Surrey |
| Main Lounge | 09:45 – 10:30 | Break with Poster Session |
| 10:30 – 12:00 | Session 3G |
|---|---|
| Poverty and Inequality II Annex Room 1st floor |
A spatial microsimulation method for estimating small area income deprivation Ben Anderson (Technology and Social Change Research Centre, University of Essex, UK) and Dimitris Ballas (Department of Geography, University of Sheffield, UK) |
| Modelling UK child poverty in 2010 and 2020 Mike Brewer, James Browne, Robert Joyce and Holly Sutherland (Institute for Fiscal Studies, UK) |
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| Poverty Impact of Social Welfare Reform. An analysis of the proposals in the Irish Green Paper 2007 using dynamic microsimulation modelling Elisa Baroni and Cathal O’Donoghue (National University of Ireland) |
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| Population Projection for Cape Verde: A Dynamic Microsimulation Model Alain Bélanger and Carlos Rosario Mendès (INRS, Montréal, Canada) |
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| Spatial II Gatineau Room 4th floor |
A hybrid spatial microsimulation model for decision support in demographic planning B. M. Wu, M. H.Birkin andP. H. Rees (School Geography University of Leeds) |
| Improving the Representation of Diversity in Spatial Microsimulation Models Mark Birkin and Graham Clarke (University of Leeds) |
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| Pushing them to the edge: An assessment of spatial microsimulation methods Robert Tanton (National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra), Paul Williamson (Department of Geography, University of Liverpool), Kimberley Edwards (University of Leeds), Yogi Vidyattama (National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling, University of Canberra) |
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| Pension and Retirement IV Sussex Lounge 1st floor |
Demographic development and Pension Reform in Norway Dennis Fredriksen, Trude Gunnes and Nils Martin Stølen (Statistics Norway) |
| Measuring intragenerational and intergenerational redistribution in the reformed Italian social security system Carlo Mazzaferro (University of Bologna and CAPP, Italy) and Marcello Morciano (University of East Anglia and CAPP, Italy) |
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| Projecting Future U.S. Pension Benefits Martin R. Holmer (Policy Simulation Group) |
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| Taxation III Sussex Room 1st floor |
“Purple Reign” An evaluation of tax-benefit reforms in Belgium 1999-2007 André Decoster (Centre for Economic Studies, KUniversity of Leuven, Belgium), Kris De Swerdt (Centre for Economic Studies (KUniversity of Leuven), Belgium), Pieter Vandenbroucke (Centre for Social Policy (University of Antwerp, Belgium) and Gerlinde Verbist (Centre for Social Policy, University of Antwerp, Belgium) |
| Distributional Effects of Taxes and Benefits in Korea Myung Jae Sung, Byung Mok Jeon and Byung-hill Jun (Korea Institute of Public Finance) |
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| Which Personal Income Tax Scheme Favours Income Distribution Within the Czech Households? Jan Pavel (University of Economics, Prague, Czech Republic), Milan Ščasný (Charles University Prague, Czech Republic) and Martin Kryl (Charles University Prague, Czech Republic) |
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| Income Distributional Outcomes of Converting Non-refundable Credits to Refundable Credits in Canada Thaddeus Hwong (York University, Canada) and Laurie Plager (Statistics Canada) |
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| Labour Supply and Policy Changes II Centennial Room 5th floor |
Dual Income Tax Reform in Germany. A Microsimulation Approach Gerhard Wagenhals (University of Hohenheim Stuttgart, Germany) |
| Revealed Social Preferences and Welfare Effects of the German Labour Market Reform Markus Clauss (Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH (ZEW) Centre for European Economic Research, Germany |
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| Microsimulation in government decision making in Hungary Dóra Benedek (Ministry of Finance, Central European University, Hungary), Sándor Csanád Kiss (Ministry of Finance, Central European University, Hungary) and Péter András Szabó (Ministry of Finance, Hungary) |
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| Simulating the welfare effect of tax reforms on labour supply in Europe Mathias Dolls (CGS, University of Cologne), Vanessa Draeger (CGS, University of Cologne), Dirk Neumann (CGS, University of Cologne) and Andreas Peichl (IZA Bonn) |
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| 12:00 – 13:00 | Lunch |
| Main Hall | |
| 13:00 – 14:30 | Session 3H |
| Demographic Projections – Education, Partner and Kinship Annex Room 1st floor |
Using a microsimulation model to project family and kinship networks in Britain Michael Murphy (Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics, London, UK) |
| Education projections in Norway Trude Gunnes (Statistics Norway) |
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| Duration of life with or without a partner in France : Changes over cohorts of aged men and women Sophie Pennec and Joëlle Gaymu (Institut National d’Etudes Démographiques, Paris, France) |
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| Ethnic diversity and educational attainment: The modeling of education in the Canadian PopSim population projection model Martin Spielauer (Statistics Canada) |
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| Micro/Macro Links I Centennial Room 5th floor |
Agricultural Distortions, Poverty and Inequality in South Africa Nicolas Herault and James Thurlow (University of Melbourne, Australia) |
| Impact of the Quebec Government’s Economic Policy on Poverty and Disparities * French Session Abdessalem Abbassi (Ministère des Finances du Québec), Danielle Bilodeau (Institut de la Statistique du Québec), and Rim Chatti (Ministère des Finances du Québec) |
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| Microsimulations for Poverty and Inequality in Mexico using parameters from a CGE Model Araceli Ortega Díaz (EGAP, Mexico) |
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| Poverty and Inequality III Gatineau Room 4th floor |
Combating Child Poverty in Lithuania and other NMS: the Role of Family Benefit Systems Lina Salanauskaite (Maastricht Graduate School of Governance, Maastricht University), Gerlinde Verbist (The Centre for Social Policy, Antwerpen University) |
| Regional & Rural Poverty Analysis in Ireland Karyn Morrissey (Rural Economic Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland & the School of Geography, University of Leeds), Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economic Research Centre, Teagasc, Ireland), Graham Clarke, (School of Geography, University of Leeds) |
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| Modelling poverty transitions in Spain: Do attrition and initial conditions really matter? Sara Ayllón (Department of Applied Economics Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, UAB, Spain) |
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| The Impact of Taxes and Transfers on Child Poverty in South Africa Kate Wilkinson (Centre for Analysis of South African Social Policy, University of Oxford, UK) |
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| Spatial III Rideau Room 5th floor |
A Continuous Space Representation of a Simulated Population John Cullinan (RERC Teagasc and NUI, Galway), Cathal O'Donoghue (RERC Teagasc) and Stephen Hynes (RERC Teagasc) |
| Ageing, place and economic well-being: advantage and disadvantage among older Australians Justine McNamara, Riyana Miranti, Cathy Gong, Robert Tanton (NATSEM, University of Canberra, Canberra, Australia) and Hal Kendig (Ageing and Health in the Faculty of Health Sciences at the University of Sydney) |
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| Use of static spatial microsimulation for researching inequalities of educational attainment Dimitris Kavroudakis (UCL geography) Dimitris Ballas (University of Sheffield, department of geography) Mark Birkin (University of Leeds, school of geography) |
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| Population Ageing and the Needs-Based Planning of Government Services: An Application of Spatial Microsimulation in Australia Ann Harding, Robert Tanton, Yogi Vidyattama, Rebecca Cassells, Justine McNamara, Riyana Miranti and Binod Nepal, (NATSEM, University of Canberra; Canberra, Australia) |
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| Pensions and Retirement: V Sussex Lounge 1st floor |
Mandatory superannuation and self-sufficiency in retirement: an application of the APPSIM dynamic microsimulation model Marcia Keegan (University of Canberra, NATSEM, Australia) |
| Retirement Incomes Past, Present, and Future: Using LifePaths to Evaluate Earnings Replacement after Retirement Kevin D. Moore (Statistics Canada) |
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| What are the consequences of the European AWG-projections on the adequacy of pensions? An application of the dynamic microsimulation model MIDAS for Belgium, Germany and Italy Gijs Dekkers (Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, and Centre for Sociological Research, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium), Hermann Buslei, Johannes Geyer, Dirk Hofmann, Viktor Steiner ((German Institute for Economic Research), DIW, Germany), Maria Cozzolino, Michele Raitano, Paola Tanda, Simone Tedeschi, (Institute for Studies and Economic Analysis), ISAE, Italy), Raphael Desmet and Frédéric Verschueren (Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium) |
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| The Destinie 2 microsimulation model: increased flexibility and adaptation to users' needs Didier Blanchet, Emmanuelle Crenner and Sylvie Le Minez (INSEE - Department of General Economic Studies) |
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| Taxation IV Sussex Room 1st floor |
Fiscal drag and tax relieves: an evaluation of recent Italian reforms Carlo Declich and Floriana D’Elia (ISAE–Institute of Economic Studies and Analyses, ITALY) |
| Static Microsimulation Model IRPET Maria Luisa Maitino (IRPET, Firenze, Italy) |
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| Optimal taxation, social contract and the four worlds of welfare capitalism Amedeo Spadaro (Public Policy Analysis Unit, Paris School of Economics, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Palma de Mallorca) |
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| 14:30 – 15:00 | Break |
| Main Lounge | |
| 15:00 – 16:30 | Session 3I |
| Micro/Macro Links II Centennial Room 5th floor |
Employment effects of a general minimum wage - an integrated Micro-Macro approach Juergen Wiemers and Michael Feil (Institute for Employment Research, Germany) |
| Microsimulation, Macrosimulation, Model Validation and Alignment Bruce Bacon (University of Canberra at the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling (NATSEM), and National University of Australia at the Australian Demographic and Social Research Institute (ARSRI)) and Sophie Pennec (Institut national d’etudes demographiques, France (INED- national institute of demographic studies)) |
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| The benefits and problems of linking CGE and Microsimulation Models - Evidence from a Flat Tax analysis Andreas Peichl, (IZA Bonn, Germany) |
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| Spatial IV Gatineau Room 4th floor |
Imitation or interaction in spatial micro simulation Einar Holm (Urban Lindgren, Kalle Mäkilä, Erling Lundevaller, Dept. of social and economic geography, Umeå University) |
| Small area estimation through spatial microsimulation models: Some methodological issues Azizur Rahman (National centre for social and economic Modelling University of Canberra, Australia) |
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| Imputing socioeconomic status onto administrative datasets Linc Thurecht, Andrew Armstrong, Cathy Gong, Laurie Brown, Ann Harding (NATSEM, University of Canberra; Canberra, Australia) |
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| Pension and Retirement VI Sussex Lounge 1st floor |
Micro simulations on the effects of ageing-related policy measures Jan-Maarten vanSonsbeek (VU University Amsterdam) |
| Impact of reforming the old-age pension system in Belgium Marjan Maes (UCL Ouvain, teaching assistant Catholic university Brussels Belgium) |
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| The Effects of Earnings Sharing on U.S. Social Security Benefits in 2030: An Application of the MINT Microsimulation Model Howard M. Iams (Ph.D. Senior Research Advisor, Office of Research Evaluation and Statistics, U.S. Social Security Administration), Gayle Reznik (Ph.DEconomist, Office of Retirement Policy, U.S. Social Security Administration) and Christopher R. Tamborini (Ph.D.Research Analyst, Office of Retirement Policy, U.S. Social Security Administration) |
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| Basic Income Rideau Room 5th floor |
An Unconditional Basic Income for Germany – Labor Supply and Distributional Effects Julia Horstschräer (Centre for European Economic Research, Mannheim) and Markus Clauss Reinhold Schnabel (University of Duisburg-Essen) |
| Basic Income in Finland Heikki Viitamäki (Government Institute for Economic Research (VATT), Finland) |
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| Behavioural and Welfare Effects of Basic Income Policies: A Simulation for European Countries Ugo Colombino (Department of Economics ‘Cognetti De Martiis' University of Turin, Torino, Italy) and CHID – Collegio Carlo Alberto |
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| TCitizens Income: relaxing the assumptions Maria Iacovou (Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER), University of Essex, Colchester UK) |
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| Taxation – Longitudinal Sussex Room 1st floor |
Family Intertemporal Fiscal Incidence: A New Methodology For Assessing Public Policies Veronica Polin (Department of Law and Economic, University of Verona, (Italy) and Nicola Sartor (Department of Law and Economics, University of Verona, Italy) |
| PAYGO vs reserve fund: alternative approach in the introduction of a LTC programme. A microsimulation approach Carlo Mazzaferro (University of Bologna and CAPP) and Marcello Morciano (University of East Anglia and CAPP) |
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| Saving the Belgian welfare state through immigration? A simulation of introducing Canadian immigration policies in Belgium Vincent Corluy, Gerlinde Verbist and Ive Marx (Centre for Social Policy, University of Antwerp) |
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| Comparing lifetime redistributive properties of Canadian tax and transfer regimes across years using LifePaths Steve Gribble and Laurie Plager (Statistics Canada) |
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| Education, Earnings and Labour Force Annex Room 1st floor |
Forecasting individual lifetime earnings profiles Denisa Maria Sologon (Maastricht Graduate School of Governance, Maastricht University, The Netherlands) Cathal O’Donoghue (Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc Mellows Campus, Ireland) |
| Modelisation of the labour force participation component in Popsim Alain Bélanger, Professeur agrégé, Institut national de la recherche scientifique – Urbanisation culture et société, Montréal, Canada |
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| Modeling Education in DYNACAN Keith Wilde (DYNACAN Project, Social Development Canada) and Richard Morrison (DYNACAN) |
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| Accounting for the Intergenerational Transmission of Educational Attainment: The Modeling of Education in the Canadian LifePaths Microsimulation Model Martin Spielauer (Statistics Canada) |
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| 16:30 – 17:00 | Break |
| Main Lounge | |
| 17:00 – 18:00 | Plenary Panel and Closing Remarks |
| Main Hall |
