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Friday, December 12, 2003

Labour productivity, hourly compensation and unit labour cost

Third quarter 2003

Labour productivity in Canada's business sector increased 0.7% in the third quarter compared with the second, the strongest quarterly gain in more than a year.

This increase put an end to a lacklustre performance during the last five quarters, when productivity ranged between a gain of 0.3% and a decline of 0.5%.

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In the United States, the third-quarter growth in labour productivity was 2.1%, three times Canada's pace. However, this figure is still subject to revision.

In returning to stronger productivity growth, Canadian businesses experienced a slight increase in economic activity, despite the huge power outage in Ontario in August.

So far this year, economic activity in Canada has been affected by an exceptional combination of negative shocks. These included SARS, mad cow disease, the mid-August power blackout in Ontario, forest fires in British Columbia and the rising value of the Canadian dollar.


Note to readers

This release contains a brief analysis of detailed data on productivity growth and other related variables. A comprehensive analysis, including additional charts and tables, is now available in HTML or PDF format in the publication Canadian economic accounts quarterly review (13-010-XIE, free). Definitions of some concepts can be found in the note to readers of that publication.

This release on labour productivity estimates is based on the revised data from the labour statistics consistent with the System of National Accounts disseminated in The Daily of December 4. In light of these revisions, the detailed data on productivity and other related variables were revised back to 1998.

In addition, the estimates of hours worked for the third quarter used in the productivity calculations were adjusted to take into account the hours lost during the power outage in Ontario. The results of specific questions included in the September Labour Force Survey, published in The Daily of October 30, were used to determine the net impact on hours worked, that is, hours lost minus overtime hours. In the business sector, the net loss was estimated at 13.9 million hours.

Quarterly measures of labour productivity and related variables appear for the first time today in detail, reflecting 16 industries of the business sector. The statistical series for these industries start as of the first quarter of 1997. These detailed industry data are available in a new CANSIM table (table 383-0012).

In this release, the use of the term "productivity" refers to labour productivity. Calculations of the productivity growth rate and its related variables are based on index numbers rounded to one decimal place.


In the third quarter, businesses were able to increase their production slightly without hiring more workers.

Better productivity performance in the United States largely the result of exceptional gain in production

The much higher gain in productivity in the United States in the third quarter was due to its exceptional increase in economic output. In fact, during the second and third quarters, the gap in production growth between the two countries has remained high.

In the second quarter, real gross domestic product rose 1.1% in the United States, compared with a 0.8% decline in Canada.

In the third quarter, GDP south of the border rose a strong 2.4%, compared with a gain of 0.2% in Canada. The US gain was the highest quarterly increase since the first three months of 1984 (+2.7%).

The growth in the United States was the result of several factors, including reductions in income tax, interest rates that were at an all-time low, and the weakness of the US dollar. In Canada, a decline in non-farm inventories of businesses, as well as the drop in exports, had a dampening effect on production growth.

The exceptional third-quarter gain in production in the United States was accompanied by a slight improvement in the labour market. While the number of hours worked continued to decrease in Canada in the third quarter, the US business sector saw an end to the downturn in employment.

While hours worked dropped 0.8% in the second quarter in Canada, they declined 0.5% in the third quarter. The number of hours worked in the third quarter was affected by the power outage that occurred in Ontario in August and the period of energy conservation that followed. Had it not been for this power outage, the number of hours worked would have dropped by only 0.3% instead of 0.5% in the third quarter. The power outage thus accounted for two-fifths of the decrease in hours worked in the business sector in the third quarter.

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In comparison, hours worked in US businesses increased 0.4 % in the third quarter, marking only the second increase in the past 14 quarters.

These factors combined to produce lower productivity gains in Canada than in the United States during the third quarter. Productivity growth in the United States has been higher than in Canada since the second quarter of 2002.

Higher Canadian dollar continues to drive labour costs in Canada

American businesses also held a significant advantage over Canadian businesses with respect to changes in labour costs.

On a year-to-year basis, unit labour costs in the third quarter increased 2.8% in Canada, but dropped 2.1% in the United States, as expressed in the respective currencies of each country.

The gap in unit labour costs between Canada and the United States for the third quarter was the result of weaker growth in labour productivity in Canada, since the changes in hourly compensation were similar. Labour productivity in Canada increased scarcely 0.3% compared with the third quarter of 2002, while in the United States, productivity was up 5.0% on a year-over-year basis.

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Expressed in US dollars, the advantage for American businesses in terms of unit labour costs was even greater in the third quarter. With the 11.7% upsurge in the value of the Canadian dollar vis-à-vis its US counterpart between the third quarters of 2002 and 2003, the United States continues to hold a clear advantage in terms of the trend for unit costs.

Unit labour costs for Canadian businesses, as measured in US currency, posted a spectacular increase of 16.4% annually in the third quarter, while those of American businesses recorded a drop of 2.1%.

Available on CANSIM: tables 383-0008 and 383-0012.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 5042.

A more comprehensive analysis, including additional charts and tables are now available in the Canadian economic accounts quarterly review (13-010-XIE, free). From the Our products and services page, under Browse our Internet publications, choose Free, then National accounts.

For related product, see the new electronic publication Productivity Growth in Canada, 2003 (15-204-XIE, $37; 15-204-XPE, $49) that will be available soon. For more information on productivity growth, see the page Overview and description of publications in our site.

The fourth quarter data for labour productivity, hourly compensation and unit labour cost will be released on March 12, 2004.

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Jean-Pierre Maynard (613-951-3654; fax: 613-951-3292; maynard@statcan.gc.ca), Micro-Economic Analysis Division.

Business sector : Labour productivity and related variables for Canada and the United States
  Third quarter 2001 Fourth quarter 2001 First quarter 2002 Second quarter 2002 Third quarter 2002 Fourth quarter 2002 First quarter 2003 Second quarter 2003 Third quarter 2003
  % change from previous quarter, seasonally adjusted
Canada                  
Labour productivity 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 -0.3 -0.5 0.2 -0.1 0.7
Real GDP -0.6 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.4 -0.8 0.2
Hours worked -1.3 -0.1 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.3 -0.8 -0.5
Hourly compensation 1.6 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.1
Unit labour cost 0.9 -0.4 0.2 -0.3 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.5
Exchange rate1 0.3 2.2 0.9 -2.5 0.6 0.4 -3.8 -7.4 -1.3
Unit labour cost in US$ 0.5 -2.5 -0.7 2.3 0.1 0.8 4.2 8.9 1.8
United-States                  
Labour productivity 0.8 2.1 2.1 0.2 1.5 0.4 0.6 1.8 2.1
Real GDP -0.2 0.9 1.4 0.1 1.3 0.4 0.3 1.1 2.4
Hours worked -1.0 -1.3 -0.6 -0.1 -0.2 0.1 -0.3 -0.6 0.4
Hourly compensation 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.5
Unit labour cost -0.2 -1.6 -1.2 0.8 -1.0 0.1 0.1 -0.8 -1.4
  1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Fourth quarter  2002 First quarter  2003 Second quarter  2003 Third quarter  2003
  % change from the previous year, seasonally adjusted % change from same quarter of previous year, seasonally adjusted
Canada                  
Labour productivity 1.4 3.3 3.8 1.0 1.9 0.2 -0.4 -0.7 0.3
Real GDP 4.5 6.9 6.3 1.3 3.4 3.6 2.3 0.5 0.1
Hours worked 3.0 3.6 2.2 0.4 1.4 3.5 2.6 1.2 -0.2
Hourly compensation 4.4 0.7 6.9 3.7 2.7 1.9 1.5 2.3 3.0
Unit labour cost 2.9 -2.4 2.9 2.7 0.8 1.8 1.9 3.0 2.8
Exchange rate 7.1 0.1 0.0 4.3 1.4 -0.7 -5.3 -10.0 -11.7
Unit labour cost in US$ -3.9 -2.6 2.8 -1.4 -0.6 2.5 7.6 14.5 16.4
United States                  
Labour productivity 2.6 2.5 3.1 2.0 5.3 4.2 2.7 4.3 5.0
Real GDP 4.9 4.7 4.1 -0.2 2.7 3.4 2.2 3.2 4.4
Hours worked 2.2 2.1 1.0 -2.1 -2.5 -0.8 -0.5 -1.1 -0.6
Hourly compensation 5.5 4.5 6.8 3.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8
Unit labour cost 2.7 2.0 3.7 1.8 -2.3 -1.4 0.0 -1.5 -2.1
1The exchange rate corresponds to the US dollar value expressed in Canadian dollars.
Source: US data are from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Productivity and costs- Third quarter 2003 published in NEWS, December 3.



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Date Modified: 2003-12-12 Important Notices