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Thursday, October 14, 2004

Canadian international merchandise trade

August 2004 

Canada's merchandise trade surplus rebounded in August to the second highest level in three and a half years as imports fell at a faster rate than exports.

Exports declined slightly for a second month in a row, falling 0.4% to $37.8 billion on lower exports to the United States and Japan.

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Canadian companies imported $30.2 billion worth of merchandise, down 4.4% over July. This decline encompassed all seven import commodity sectors.

As a result, Canada's merchandise trade surplus jumped by $1.3 billion to $7.5 billion.


Note to readers

Merchandise trade is one component of the current account of Canada's balance of payments, which also includes trade in services.

Revisions

In general, merchandise trade data are revised on an ongoing basis for each month of the current year. Customs basis data are revised for the previous data year each quarter.

Factors influencing revisions include late receipt of import and export documentation, incorrect information on customs forms, replacement of estimates with actual figures, changes in classification of merchandise based on more current information, and changes to seasonal adjustment factors.

Revised data are available in the appropriate CANSIM tables.


Demand for goods faltered south of the border, as exports to the United States fell by 1.1%. At the same time, Canadians purchased 6.5% less from American firms. This resulted in a $1.1 billion increase in Canada's trade surplus with the United States to $10.1 billion—only the third time on record that Canada's trade surplus with the United States has topped $10 billion.

Exports to countries other than the United States increased slightly to $7.0 billion. At the same time, non-US imports increased 2.1% to $9.7 billion. As a result, Canada's non-US trade deficit fell to $2.7 billion from $2.9 billion in July.

Weather affects export demand

Energy products exports cooled slightly in August, down 2.6% to $6.3 billion. Natural gas exports fell by 1.7% to $2.7 billion. With export prices rising, volumes fell by 4.7% because of adequate underground storage inventories in the United States for the upcoming heating season. Crude petroleum exports declined by 2.9% to $2.3 billion. Other energy product exports fell by 3.8% to $1.3 billion. Most prominent in this decline were exports of electricity. While volume rose slightly the export price index fell by 3.6%.

Exports of machinery and equipment declined 2.0% to $7.9 billion. Following a buoyant June and July, exports of aircraft and other transportation equipment exports fell by 3.5% to $2.0 billion. Industrial and agricultural machinery exports fell by 4.0% to $1.8 billion. The other machinery and equipment commodity grouping declined only slightly, thanks to solid growth in exports of television and telecom and related equipment (up 6.9% to $1.1 billion).

Forestry product exports fell slightly to $3.5 billion, as strong demand for lumber and sawmill products in the United States failed to offset reductions in exports of newsprint and other paper exports (down 5.0% to $1.0 billion) and wood pulp and wood product exports (down 3.1% to half a billion dollars). Lumber exports were up by 12.6%, due in part to price increases coupled with a stronger Canadian dollar. The impact of the hurricane season increased demand for plywood in smaller Caribbean nations while curtailing supply in Florida, where wood product plants were shut down.

Non-US exports of forestry products have increased lately—especially to Japan and China. The recently released Chinese Timber Structural Design Building Code makes wood-frame houses a viable alternative to traditional concrete construction.

Exports of industrial goods and materials increased marginally to $6.6 billion, when strong foreign demand for metal ores offset reduced exports of all chemicals, plastics and fertilizers (down 0.7% to $2.3 billion), metals and alloys (down 5.1% to $2.1 billion) and other industrial goods and materials (down 1.4% to $1.6 billion). Global shortages of nickel, a key ingredient in stainless steel, pushed prices up 34.1% in August. Volume increases in nickel shipments were concentrated in partially refined and unrefined nickel.

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Automotive exports bounced back in August, rising 1.5% to $7.7 billion. Most of the increase was attributed to motor vehicle parts. Exports rose by 4.3% to $2.3 billion when the parts supply chain re-loaded following lower production in July. Exports of passenger autos increased slightly to $4.1 billion. Exports of trucks and other motor vehicles fell slightly to $1.2 billion.

Exports of agricultural products rebounded with an increase of 1.3% to $2.8 billion, mainly a result of improved conditions for wheat during the 2004 growing season. Exports of wheat grew by 25.8% to $418 million, mainly to Japan and China.

Imports down in all merchandise sectors

A six month increase in imports of industrial goods and materials ended in August with a 4.3% decline to $6.1 billion. Imports of nearly all commodity groupings within the industrial goods and materials sector declined in August.

Energy product imports decreased 9.4% to $2.1 billion. Imports of crude petroleum gained 8.4% to $1.5 billion. Meanwhile, lower demand for electricity for air conditioning during a relatively cool August resulted in a drop in imports of other energy products used to generate electricity (down 36.3% to $576.6 million).

Imports of automotive products declined by 5.4% to $6.7 billion. Passenger auto and chassis imports declined 14.2% to $1.9 billion. Trucks and other motor vehicles decreased by 7.3% to $1.3 billion. Imports of motor vehicle parts for new car production and repairs increased slightly to $3.5 billion.

Imports of machinery and equipment declined by 4.8% to $8.5 billion. With the exception of aircraft and other transportation equipment, all commodity groupings in the machinery and equipment sector declined.

Imports of consumer goods fell 4.3% to $3.9 billion on widespread declines.

Available on CANSIM: tables 228-0001 to 228-0003 and 228-0033 to 228-0046.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 2201, 2202 and 2203.

The August 2004 issue of Canadian International Merchandise Trade (65-001-XIB, $15/$151) will soon be available. The publication includes tables by commodity and country on a customs basis. Current account data (which incorporate merchandise trade statistics, service transactions, investment income and transfers) are available quarterly in Canada's Balance of International Payments (67-001-XIE, $32/$100).

Merchandise trade data are available in PDF format on the morning of release.

For more information on the publications, contact Jocelyne Elibani (613-951-9786 or toll free: 1-800-294-5583). To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Daryl Keen (613-951-1810), International Trade Division.

Merchandise trade
  July 2004r August 2004 July to August 2004 August 2003 to August 2004 January to August 2003 January to August 2004 January - August 2003 to January - August 2004
  $ current , seasonally adjusted
  $ millions % change $ millions % change
Principal trading partners              
Exports              
United States 31,057 30,692 -1.2 17.4 223,449 234,850 5.1
Japan 928 866 -6.7 12.0 6,767 6,832 1.0
European Union 2,554 2,712 6.2 33.8 15,827 18,227 15.2
Other OECD countries1 1,039 1,096 5.5 18.9 8,245 9,474 14.9
All other countries 2,270 2,341 3.1 19.1 15,005 18,043 20.2
Total 37,847 37,708 -0.4 18.4 269,291 287,427 6.7
Imports              
United States 22,019 20,581 -6.5 8.5 161,729 164,769 1.9
Japan 877 829 -5.5 7.5 7,399 6,684 -9.7
European Union 3,175 3,154 -0.7 14.8 23,762 24,012 1.1
Other OECD countries1 1,824 1,947 6.7 29.0 13,236 14,789 11.7
All other countries 3,798 3,775 -0.6 28.0 24,432 27,874 14.1
Total 31,694 30,286 -4.4 12.4 230,559 238,130 3.3
Balance              
United States 9,038 10,111 ... ... 61,720 70,081 ...
Japan 51 37 ... ... -632 148 ...
European Union -621 -442 ... ... -7,935 -5,785 ...
Other OECD countries1 -785 -851 ... ... -4,991 -5,315 ...
All other countries -1,528 -1,434 ... ... -9,427 -9,831 ...
Total 6,153 7,422 ... ... 38,732 49,297 ...
Principal commodity groupings              
Exports              
Agricultural and fishing products 2,763 2,800 1.3 17.8 19,299 21,268 10.2
Energy products 6,486 6,318 -2.6 30.8 42,389 45,407 7.1
Forestry products 3,477 3,469 -0.2 18.9 22,593 26,557 17.5
Industrial goods and materials 6,589 6,649 0.9 24.4 43,765 51,139 16.8
Machinery and equipment 8,107 7,947 -2.0 9.8 60,231 61,995 2.9
Automotive products 7,599 7,715 1.5 15.9 58,336 60,714 4.1
Other consumer goods 1,467 1,439 -1.9 3.1 11,491 11,704 1.9
Special transactions trade2 698 690 -1.1 6.3 5,213 5,320 2.1
Other balance of payments adjustments 660 682 3.3 62.4 5,978 3,323 -44.4
Imports              
Agricultural and fishing products 1,801 1,677 -6.9 -2.6 14,519 14,088 -3.0
Energy products 2,269 2,055 -9.4 31.3 13,315 15,384 15.5
Forestry products 278 258 -7.2 2.8 2,034 2,078 2.2
Industrial goods and materials 6,330 6,056 -4.3 18.9 43,916 47,333 7.8
Machinery and equipment 8,940 8,514 -4.8 5.7 66,219 68,531 3.5
Automotive products 7,076 6,690 -5.5 22.0 51,711 51,537 -0.3
Other consumer goods 4,030 3,857 -4.3 0.7 31,010 31,178 0.5
Special transactions trade2 424 658 55.2 50.2 3,575 3,774 5.6
Other blance of payments adjustments 547 521 -4.8 2.2 4,262 4,228 -0.8
rRevised figures.
1.Includes Australia, Iceland, Mexico, New Zealand, Norway, Switzerland, Turkey, Poland, South Korea, Hungary, Czech Republic and Slovakia.
2.These are mainly low valued transactions, value of repairs to equipment, and goods returned to country of origin.
...Figures not appropriate or not applicable.



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Date Modified: 2004-10-14 Important Notices