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Friday, October 29, 2004

Gross Domestic Product by Industry

August 2004

Canada's gross domestic product (GDP) picked up steam in August, increasing by 0.5% after a 0.2% advance in July. Both the goods and service producing sectors contributed to this strength. Stronger domestic demand, a build-up of manufacturing inventories, and the end of extended planned shutdowns were behind this growth.

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The goods producing sector was pushed by manufacturing and utilities, while the service producing sector was spurred by wholesale and retail trade as well as by the finance, insurance and real estate industries. The main sources of weakness were in construction, forestry and some tourism related industries.

Industrial production (the output of Canada's factories, mines and utilities) was up 0.9% in August, marking six consecutive months of expansion. The output of all three sectors was up: factories (+1.0%), mines (+0.4%) and utilities (+1.2%). In the United States, the Index of industrial production edged down 0.2% in August, pulled back by mining and utilities.


Note to readers

In September 2002 (reference month: July 2002), the monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by industry program introduced the first stage of a conversion to a Chain Fisher formula, by adopting annually chained Fisher Input-output benchmarks in its calculation of real GDP for 1997 to 2001. However, beginning with January 2002 onwards, the monthly estimates are derived by chaining a Laspeyres volume index at 2001 prices to the prior period. The monthly GDP data are expressed in chained dollars with 1997 as reference year. This conversion brings the monthly GDP by industry estimates more in line with the quarterly expenditure-based GDP data, chained quarterly. For more information, see the Chain Fisher Volume Index page on our Web site.

Revisions

With this release of monthly GDP by industry, revisions have been made back to January 2004.


Manufacturing sector on a roll

Output of the Canadian manufacturing sector increased 1.0% in August after a 0.4% increase in July. Stronger domestic demand coupled with a build-up of inventories fuelled the increase. Growth was largely concentrated in the fabrication of durable goods: transportation equipment, machinery, and fabricated metal products. Chemicals, beverage and tobacco products were the main sources of growth in non-durable manufacturing. Wood products and the manufacturing of information and communication technology products retreated from a July surge.

Both motor vehicle (+3.8%) and motor vehicle parts (+2.1%) production increased after plants reopened following longer than usual shutdowns in July. Output of the railroad rolling stock industry increased 1.9% due to the increased demand for railcars across North America. The production of all types of machinery was up, particularly engines, power turbines and power transmission equipment (+9.1%) and metalwork machinery (+4.9%). Manufacturers of fabricated metal products, such as architectural products and machine shops, continued their brisk pace in August (+1.6%) for a third month in a row. Output of foundries was down because of supply problems. A strike weakened the production of aluminum products.

The production of chemicals was up 1.2% due to the increased output of basic chemicals (+2.2%) such as petrochemicals and industrial gases, and of other chemicals (+3.3%) such as printing ink. Brewers (+2.3%) and distillers (+3.9%) increased output while tobacco manufacturers stoked up their production 9.8%. After a strong June and July, wood products manufacturing was down on account of reduced output by sawmills (-1.5%) and millwork (-2.1%). Forestry and logging activity fell by 2.6% in August, as dry conditions in British Columbia prompted logging companies to reduce harvesting operations.

Brisk trade for retailers and wholesalers

Retailing activity rose 1.1% in August following a 0.4% increase in July. Increased customer traffic was recorded at automotive stores (new motor vehicle dealers, used and recreational motor vehicle and parts dealers, and gasoline stations). Building and outdoor home supplies stores continued to benefit from strong demand for their products. Computer and software stores reported the strongest growth of all retail trade groups. Convenience, specialty food, beer, wine and liquor stores also showed large increases in sales. In August, consumers reduced their spending on clothing and accessories, which may have affected general merchandise stores, including department stores.

Wholesaling services rose 0.8% in August on the heels of a 0.9% increase in July. Much of the gain stemmed from a surge in sales of automotive products (vehicles, parts and accessories), and sales of machinery and electronic equipment, due to the robust demand for products such as laptops and cellular phones. The most significant declines in activity were reported by wholesalers of personal and household goods, and by wholesalers of oilseed and grain (where a significant increase in commodity prices occurred).

Construction continues to decline

Construction activity declined in August for a fifth month in a row. Residential construction decreased by 0.3%. Housing starts for single residential units were down 5.3%. Housing starts however were up 12% for all types of dwellings, with all of the increase coming from multiple dwelling units. All regions except Quebec saw an increase in housing starts. Housing sales continued to slumber in August, lowering the output of real estate agents and brokers by 0.1%.

Non-residential building construction was down 1.2%, its fifth consecutive decline, standing 9.2% below its peak of June 2003. All types of non-residential buildings (industrial, commercial and institutional) registered declines. Engineering, repair and other construction activities declined 0.2%.

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Mining hampered by strikes

Activity in the mining sector increased 0.4%, shored up by diamond production, as a strike reduced the output of iron ore by 37%. The production of potash retracted from its July peak by 2.6%. Extraction of oil and gas was reduced by 0.2% as natural gas production returned to its June level. Support activities for mining (mostly drilling and rigging) was up 2.7%, spurred by the higher price for crude oil. The average spot price in US dollars of a barrel of light crude oil increased 9.1% in August from its July average.

Decrease in American tourists

The tourism industry was affected by a steep reduction in the number of travellers from the United States, which may have been influenced by concerns about border delays as a result of increased security, and by a stronger Canadian dollar. Travel to Canada from other countries increased slightly in August. As a result, activity in the accommodation industry dropped 2.4%, while the output of motor vehicle rental and leasing was down 1.8%.

Air transportation, however, increased 0.2% as most airlines improved their efficiency by carrying more passengers per flight.

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Other sectors

A reduced volume of transactions on the Canadian stock exchanges lowered the activity of stockbrokers, limiting the growth of the finance, insurance and real estate sector to 0.3% in August. Many Canadians watched the XXVIIIth Olympiad in Athens on television, resulting in a 3.1% increase in the output of radio and television broadcasting.

Available on CANSIM: tables 379-0017 to 379-0022.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 1301 and 1302.

The August 2004 issue of Gross Domestic Product by Industry, Vol. 18, no. 8 (15-001-XIE, $12/$118) is now available. A print-on-demand version is available at a different price.

Data on gross domestic product by industry for September 2004 will be released on November 30.

For general information or to order data, contact Yolande Chantigny (1-800-887-IMAD; imad@statcan.gc.ca). To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Bernard Lefrançois (613-951-3622), Industry Measures and Analysis Division.

Monthly gross domestic product by industry at basic prices in chained dollars (1997)
  March 2004r April 2004r May 2004r June 2004r July 2004r August 2004p August 2004 August 2003 to August 2004
  seasonally adjusted
  month-to-month % change $ level¹ % change
All industries 1.1  0.1  0.1  0.5  0.2  0.5  1,052,578 4.6 
Goods-producing industries 1.3  0.1  0.2  0.4  0.3  0.6  330,596 5.3 
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 1.9 -1.5 0.7 -0.9 1.1 -0.3 23,665 2.9
Mining and oil and gas extraction -0.9 1.4 1.0 -0.9 -0.1 0.4 37,968 1.9
Utilities -1.1 1.1 0.5 -0.3 0.9 1.2 25,918 1.2
Construction 2.2 -0.3 -0.2 -1.6 -0.5 -0.4 57,177 1.3
Manufacturing 2.1 -0.1 0.0 1.7 0.4 1.0 185,490 8.8
Services-producing industries 0.9  0.0  0.0  0.5  0.2  0.4  723,131 4.3 
Wholesale trade 5.1 0.2 -0.7 1.5 0.9 0.8 67,245 15.1
Retail trade 0.8 -0.8 -0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 59,879 2.7
Transportation and warehousing 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 -0.2 -0.1 50,371 6.7
Information and cultural industries 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 -0.0 43,185 1.8
Finance, insurance and real estate 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 211,099 3.7
Professional, scientific and technical services 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 46,475 2.8
Administrative and waste management services 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.5 22,265 3.6
Education services 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.3 -0.8 0.3 45,719 2.7
Health care and social assistance 0.0 -0.9 -0.0 1.7 0.4 0.2 63,101 2.0
Arts, entertainment and recreation -0.4 0.7 -0.6 -0.4 0.6 3.4 9,907 6.8
Accommodation and food services 0.7 -1.8 0.8 -0.6 0.3 0.1 23,275 2.1
Other services (except public administration) -0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.2 24,493 2.0
Public administration 0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 57,642 4.0
Other aggregations                
Industrial production 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.9 249,958 6.4
Non-durable manufacturing industries 1.2 -0.1 -0.1 1.7 0.1 0.6 75,387 6.2
Durable manufacturing industries 2.7 -0.0 0.1 1.6 0.7 1.3 109,965 10.7
Business sector industries 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 894,228 4.9
Non-business sector industries 0.2 -0.4 -0.0 1.2 0.0 0.3 158,564 2.7
Information and communication technologies industries 1.4 -0.3 1.2 0.4 1.8 1.1 62,356 14.4
Energy sector -1.5 1.6 0.4 -0.7 -0.1 0.4 60,124 0.7
rRevised figures.
pPreliminary figures.
1.Millions of dollars at annual rate.



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Date Modified: 2004-10-29 Important Notices