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Thursday, December 16, 2004

Canada's international transactions in securities

October 2004

Foreign investors bought $2.2 billion of Canadian securities in October, down from $7.6 billion in September. Purchases of Canadian stocks and long-term debt were down while purchases of Canadian money market paper were up.

Canadian investors also slowed their purchases of foreign securities in October, acquiring $1.5 billion worth following an investment of $4.2 billion in September.

Foreign investors continue buying Canadian stocks

After an exceptionally strong September, sales of Canadian stocks to foreign investors were relatively modest in October. Foreign investors purchased $589 million worth of Canadian stocks during October, down from the $5.2 billion acquired the month before. September's large increase was driven by two special events: the largest share offering in Canadian history and a major corporate restructuring. All of the investment in October originated from the United States as other foreign investors reduced their holdings of Canadian stocks.

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For the year thus far, non-resident investors have purchased $30.2 billion in Canadian equities, an amount not seen since the same 10 month period of 2000, a time of record highs for Canadian stock prices.


Related market information

Both Canadian and US short-term interest rates increased by similar amounts in October. Canadian rates increased 12 basis points to 2.57% while US rates increased 11 basis points to 1.76%, leaving the differential between the two countries virtually unchanged at 0.81%.

In October, Canadian long-term interest rates decreased 6 basis points to 4.52% and US rates rose 1 basis point to 4.11%. Still favouring investment in Canada, the differential between the two countries fell to 0.41% from 0.48% the month before.

Canadian stock prices were up 2.3% in October with the S&P/TSX Composite index ending the month at 8,871.0, its highest level since January 2001. Meanwhile, US stock prices also gained ground as the Standard and Poor's Composite Index increased 1.4% finishing October at 1,130.2.

For the first time since February 1993, the Canadian dollar had a monthly close above 80 US cents. In October, the Canadian dollar rose 2.84 US cents ending the month at 82.1 US cents.

Definitions

The data series on international security transactions cover portfolio transactions in stocks and bonds (both Canadian and foreign issues) and Canadian money market instruments.

Stocks include common and preferred equities, as well as warrants.

Debt securities include bonds and money market instruments.

Bonds have an original term to maturity of more than one year.

Money market instruments have an original term to maturity of one year or less. Government of Canada paper includes treasury bills and US-dollar Canada bills. Other money market instruments include treasury bills and other paper issued by other Canadian governments or their enterprises, bankers' acceptances, bearer demand notes of banks, commercial paper and other short-term paper.


Holdings of Canadian debt rise

Foreign holdings of Canadian bonds rose $682 million in October, a marked decrease from the $2.0 billion advance in September. While the $1.5 billion in net new issues (new issues less retirements) maintained the September pace, non-resident investors offloaded outstanding issues, the bulk of these were federal government and federal enterprise issues.

On a currency basis, foreign investors reduced their holdings of Canadian dollar denominated bonds by $1.2 billion but bought $2.1 billion in US dollar issues. Holdings of Canadian bonds issued in other foreign currencies were down.

While slowing their acquisitions of Canadian equity and long-term debt in October, foreign investors increased their purchases of Canadian money market paper. Non-resident investors purchased $970 million in October compared with $375 million in September. Corporate paper accounted for four-fifths of the total.

For the year as a whole however, foreign investors have reduced their holdings of Canadian money market paper by $2.1 billion, almost identical to their divestment over the same period in 2003. While the differential between Canadian and US short-term interest rates still favours investment in Canada, it has fallen 86 basis points since last December.

Canadian investors increase their holdings of foreign securities

Canadian investors continued buying foreign securities in October. The $1.5 billion of purchases represented a much slower pace than the $4.2 billion acquired in September. Over half of October's purchases ($833 million) were in foreign stocks with most of that going into US equities. Canadian investors purchased $635 million of foreign bonds with two-thirds invested in US corporate bonds, the biggest investment in that sector since May of this year.

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Available on CANSIM: tables 376-0018 to 376-0029 and 376-0058.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 1532, 1534, 1535 and 1537.

The October 2004 issue of Canada's International Transactions in Securities (67-002-XIE, $15/$142) will soon be available.

Data on Canada's international transactions in securities for November 2004 will be released on January 19, 2005.

For general information or to order data, contact Client Services (613-951-1855; infobalance@statcan.gc.ca.) To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact David Filiplic (613-951-1864), Balance of Payments Division.

Canada's international transactions in securities
  July 2004 August 2004 September 2004 October 2004 January to October 2003 January to October 2004
  $ millions
Foreign investment in Canadian securities 2,720 -298 7,572 2,241 10,703 41,224
Bonds (net) 2,733 1,015 2,036 682 4,214 13,121
Outstanding -207 -678 532 -1,452 -948 3,216
New issues 5,230 2,542 4,630 3,703 44,160 36,326
Retirements -2,350 -1,454 -3,071 -2,198 -40,617 -28,230
Change in interest payable1 60 605 -55 630 1,619 1,810
Money market paper (net) -632 -1,879 375 970 -2,013 -2,098
Government of Canada -858 -583 -269 147 1,105 -3,277
Other 226 -1,295 644 823 -3,118 1,180
Stocks (net) 619 565 5,161 589 8,502 30,201
Outstanding 567 -95 3,558 289 7,045 10,237
Other transactions 52 660 1,603 300 1,458 19,963
Canadian investment in foreign securities -575 1,222 -4,213 -1,468 -7,873 -12,038
Bonds (net) -461 630 -3,199 -635 -5,873 -9,334
Stocks (net) -114 592 -1,014 -833 -2,000 -2,704
1.Interest accrued less interest paid.
Note:A minus sign (-) indicates an outflow of money from Canada , that is, a withdrawal of foreign investment from Canada or an increase in Canadian investment abroad.



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Date Modified: 2004-12-16 Important Notices