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Tuesday, January 31, 2006

Gross domestic product by industry

November 2005 Previous release

The Canadian economy expanded by 0.2% in both October and November. The strength in the services industries more than offset a decrease in goods production. Growth was concentrated in retail trade, notably from vigorous sales of new motor vehicles, as well as in construction activities, and in tourism-related industries. Despite sporadic strikes by Quebec teachers, educational services also contributed to the growth as British Columbia teachers resumed work after walking out in October. Declines among wholesalers and manufacturers of motor vehicles, as well as in forestry and electric generation contributed to offset part of the gains.

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Industrial production (the output of Canada's factories, mines and utilities) retreated by 0.2% in November. The strength in the mining, oil and gas sector (+0.4%) was more than offset by declines in manufacturing (-0.3%) and utilities (-0.6%). In the United States, industrial production grew 0.8%, pushed up by manufacturing, utilities and mining.

Strength in auto retailers largely offset by weakness in wholesale of motor vehicles

For a second consecutive month, new motor vehicle dealers' sales increased sharply in November. The retail trade sector grew 1.3% largely on that strength, as retailing activities excluding motor vehicles rose 0.6% with the largest gains recorded by clothing stores, supermarkets and home and hardware centres.


Note to readers

The monthly gross domestic product (GDP) by industry data are chained volume estimates with 1997 as their reference year. This means that the estimates for each industry and aggregate are obtained from a chained volume index multiplied by the industry's value added in 1997. For the period 1997 to 2002, the monthly estimates are benchmarked to annually chained Fisher volume indexes of GDP obtained from the constant-price input-output tables. For the period starting with January 2003, the estimates are derived by chaining a Laspeyres volume index at 2002 prices to the prior period. This makes the monthly GDP by industry estimates more comparable with the expenditure-based GDP data, chained quarterly. For more information, see the Chain Fisher Volume Index page on our Web site.

Revisions

With this release of monthly GDP by industry, revisions have been made back to January 2005.


Following three consecutive months of growth, wholesale trade fell 1.0% in November, pulled down by a sharp drop in wholesaling of motor vehicles. Wholesalers of computers and other electronic equipment and of farm products also recorded significant declines. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, wholesale trade edged up 0.1% mostly from sales of household and personal goods, building supplies, and machinery and equipment.

Engineering works continue to stimulate construction activity

Construction activity rose 0.7% in November. Non-residential building construction (+0.5%) and engineering, repairs and other construction activities (+1.0%) continued to be the source of growth in that sector. All types of non-residential buildings (commercial, institutional and industrial) grew.

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Residential construction gained 0.2%, after slipping for three consecutive months. Housing starts in urban areas regained momentum except in the Atlantic region. Sales of existing homes increased markedly in most major metropolitan areas, except in Montréal and Vancouver, helping real estate agents and brokers to raise their output 0.2%.

Energy sector edges down while mining recovers

The energy sector edged down 0.2% in November. The decline in output was driven by the generation of electricity (-0.9%) and lower oil and gas exploration (-0.2%) as milder weather conditions were recorded in November.

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Oil and gas extraction rose 0.1%. The growth in crude petroleum was offset by a decline in output of natural gas. Crude oil extraction on the East Coast fully recovered after maintenance work in September. As well, increased production in the tar sands area led to higher exports of crude oil.

Mining activity gained 2.8% from its sharp October decline. An 8.5% rebound in output of non-metallic minerals (which include diamonds and potash) in November more than offset the declines in iron and other metal ore mines.

Manufacturing loses some ground on the volatility of motor vehicles

Manufacturing output declined 0.3% in November. Production decreased in 9 of the 21 major groups, but among them were some of the largest, accounting for 46% of this sector's output. The largest declines were recorded by manufacturers of transportation equipment (-3.2%), chemicals (-2.6%), paper (-1.1%), and beverage and tobacco products (-1.7%).

Recent swings in consumer purchases of motor vehicles have made 2005 motor vehicle manufacturing volatile. Following strong gains in October, the production of auto and light motor vehicles as well as that of heavy-duty trucks fell markedly in November, resulting in a 5.0% decline in output of motor vehicles. The output of motor vehicle parts weakened 3.7%, a third consecutive monthly decline. With gasoline and fuel oil prices diving from record levels, and American refineries along the coast of the Gulf of Mexico coming back online following extensive production disruptions caused by the hurricane season, Canadian refineries reduced their output. The output of chemical manufacturers also retreated in November, driven by pharmaceuticals and resin and synthetic fibres.

Gains in food manufacturing (+2.6%), plastic products (+2.3%), sawmills (+1.8%), veneer products (+4.5%) and clothing (+5.8%) contributed to limit the decline in output of the sector.

Other activities

Some tourism-related industries fared well in November. Air transportation increased by 3.6% while accommodation services gained 2.8% and food and beverage services rose 1.2%. The number of tourists travelling to Canada increased 1.0% in November.

Despite some sporadic strike activities by Quebec teachers, the end of a strike by British Columbia teachers contributed to the rebound of 2.0% in output of educational services in November. Strike activities by professional employees in Quebec contributed, however, to the 0.5% decline in the output of the provincial administration.

Available on CANSIM: tables 379-0017 to 379-0022.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 1301 and 1302.

The November 2005 issue of Gross Domestic Product by Industry, Vol. 19, no. 11 (15-001-XIE, $12/$118) is now available. A print-on-demand version is available at a different price.

Data on gross domestic product by industry for December 2005 will be released on February 28.

For general information or to order data, contact Yolande Chantigny (1-800-887-IMAD; imad@statcan.gc.ca). To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Bernard Lefrançois (613-951-3622), Industry Accounts Division.

Monthly gross domestic product by industry at basic prices in chained dollars (1997)
  June 2005r July 2005r August 2005r September 2005r October 2005r November 2005p November 2005 November 2004 to November 2005
  seasonally adjusted
  month-to-month % change Millions of dollars¹ % change
All Industries 0.4  0.3  0.7  -0.1  0.2  0.2  1,083,916 3.0 
Goods-producing industries -0.1  0.6  1.2  -0.3  0.2  -0.1  343,055 1.9 
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 -2.0 -0.9 24,736 -0.3
Mining and oil and gas extraction -2.9 4.1 0.9 0.9 -0.6 0.4 40,624 2.8
Utilities 3.1 -2.3 0.4 0.7 -1.2 -0.6 27,369 1.7
Construction 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 -0.1 0.7 64,337 4.8
Manufacturing -0.0 -0.0 1.7 -1.2 1.1 -0.3 184,978 1.1
Services-producing industries 0.6  0.2  0.4  0.1  0.2  0.3  741,784 3.5 
Wholesale trade 1.1 -1.2 2.3 0.7 0.9 -1.0 68,510 6.8
Retail trade 1.1 1.3 -1.1 -1.9 1.5 1.3 63,006 4.0
Transportation and warehousing 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.3 -0.3 -0.1 52,438 4.0
Information and cultural industries 0.3 0.3 0.9 -0.4 0.2 0.1 44,645 3.8
Finance, insurance and real estate 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 216,486 4.0
Professional, scientific and technical services 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 46,249 1.5
Administrative and waste management services 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 24,117 3.6
Education services 0.9 0.1 0.5 -0.0 -2.1 2.0 47,345 3.0
Health care and social assistance 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 62,635 2.2
Arts, entertainment and recreation 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.5 1.4 0.1 9,759 6.6
Accommodation and food services 0.4 -0.3 -0.4 1.1 0.2 1.8 23,568 2.4
Other services (except public administration) 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.0 0.0 26,063 1.1
Public administration 0.3 -0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 -0.1 58,823 2.0
Other aggregations                
Industrial production -0.3 0.6 1.4 -0.6 0.5 -0.2 254,522 1.5
Non-durable manufacturing industries -1.2 0.8 1.4 -1.0 -0.3 0.2 73,365 -1.0
Durable manufacturing industries 0.8 -0.5 1.9 -1.4 2.0 -0.7 111,370 2.5
Business sector industries 0.3 0.3 0.7 -0.1 0.3 0.1 923,567 3.1
Non-business sector industries 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 -0.5 0.6 160,856 2.4
Information and communication technologies industries 1.3 0.3 0.7 -1.0 0.3 0.3 62,039 4.8
Energy sector -0.9 1.6 1.6 0.7 -0.1 -0.2 65,606 3.1
rRevised.
pPreliminary.
1. Millions of chained dollars (1997), seasonally adjusted at annual rates.



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Date Modified: 2006-01-31 Important Notices