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Financial flow accounts

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Fourth quarter 2008

Funds borrowed on financial markets by domestic non-financial sectors increased in the fourth quarter of 2008, to $416 billion (seasonally adjusted at annual rates).

Federal government short-term paper and bond issues accounted for more than 50% of total activity. This was led by a record quarterly issuance of treasury bills, partly in support of the federal government's Insured Mortgage Purchase Program.

Chart 1

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Canadian stock exchanges were down again in the fourth quarter. The resource laden Standard & Poor's / Toronto Stock Exchange composite index fell 24%, its largest percentage decline in a decade. The continued fall in commodity prices and demand for energy products did little to support the domestic currency. The Canadian dollar depreciated by 14% in the quarter relative to its US counterpart.

The Bank of Canada's key trend setting rate, the bank rate, was reduced by more than 150 basis points, closing out the quarter at 1.75%. Cuts in the United States were more pronounced during the quarter, as the Federal Reserve funds rate fell to an all-time low of 0.10%.

Government sector

Overall government borrowing increased seven-fold between the third and fourth quarter of 2008. For the first time since the third quarter of 2003, the government sector became a net borrower from the rest of the economy.

The federal government raised $227 billion in the fourth quarter (these are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates; on a quarterly basis the government raised $57 billion). About half of this borrowing was linked to the Insured Mortgage Purchase Program, which provided liquidity to Canadian financial markets through the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). Treasury bill issues met market demand for liquid investments and also provided funds that were deposited at the Bank of Canada to support its efforts in supporting Canadian financial markets.

Borrowing by other levels of government also picked up during the quarter, reflecting a return to deficit positions (on a national accounts basis) at the provincial and local government levels.

Financial institutions adjust their financial positions

The Bank of Canada provided significant liquidity during the quarter through the increased use of purchase and resale agreements with financial institutions.

Institutional investors reduced their foreign investments in exchange for short-term paper and domestic bonds. Lending institutions also invested heavily in domestic fixed income securities while net new loan issuances slowed. The fourth quarter of 2008 marked the largest ever issuance of National Housing Act Mortgage Backed-Securities, with CMHC acquiring about half under the Insured Mortgage Purchase Program.

Corporate profits declined 20% in the fourth quarter. Savings of non-financial corporations, previously buoyed by high commodity prices, retreated significantly. As a result, the non-financial corporate sector moved into a deficit position, their largest since the fourth quarter of 1999.

Non-financial corporations' new borrowings included a substantial increase in bank loans, as there was a significant drop in activity in both the bond and equity markets.

Household sector

Overall household borrowing slowed to $92 billion during the fourth quarter of 2008, led by dampened growth in consumer credit and mortgages. Net new mortgage borrowing was down more than 6% in the quarter, as the housing market continued to soften, with decreased activity in the resale housing market.

Consumer credit flows were significantly lower in the fourth quarter of 2008, posting their largest quarterly percentage drop in over a decade. Despite this recent slowdown, borrowing has remained at high levels since late 2007. Personal expenditure fell during the fourth quarter with notable declines in new and used motor vehicles.

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Detailed analysis and tables

The National economic accounts module, accessible from the home page of our website, features an up-to-date portrait of national and provincial economies and their structure.

More detailed analysis on today's release, including additional charts and tables, can be found in the fourth quarter 2008 issue of Canadian Economic Accounts Quarterly Review, Vol. 7, no. 4 (13-010-XWE, free), from the Publications module of our website.

Financial flow accounts

Available on CANSIM: tables 378-0001 and 378-0002.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 1804.

Detailed printed tables of unadjusted and seasonally adjusted quarterly Financial Flow Accounts (13-014-PPB, $54/$193), including supplementary analytical tables and charts, are now available. To purchase this product, contact Client Services (613-951-3810; iead-info-dcrd@statcan.gc.ca), Income and Expenditure Accounts Division.

The complete quarterly Financial Flow Accounts: Data Tables, Vol. 1, no. 4 (13-020-XWE, free), are also now available from the Publications module of our website.

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Media Relations (613-951-4636; mediahotline@statcan.gc.ca), Communications and Library Services Division.

Table 1

Financial market summary table
  Third quarter 2007 Fourth quarter 2007 First quarter 2008 Second quarter 2008 Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter 2008 2007 2008
  Seasonally adjusted at annual rates    
  $ millions
Funds raised                
Persons and unincorporated business 122,856 128,836 119,640 112,280 101,868 91,808 118,836 106,399
Consumer credit 33,948 36,832 38,180 32,460 30,696 24,424 34,908 31,440
Bank loans 1,844 -296 -3,764 3,464 -3,856 2,452 16 -426
Other loans 3,924 4,408 4,120 1,724 7,884 1,932 3,723 3,915
Mortgages 83,140 87,892 81,104 74,632 67,144 63,000 80,189 71,470
Non-financial private corporations 73,268 73,364 70,140 72,284 72,264 42,272 74,971 64,240
Bank loans 24,352 18,092 14,424 5,032 27,732 41,448 19,583 22,159
Other loans -188 -1,388 -13,332 -4,700 3,968 -5,840 -1,281 -4,976
Other short-term paper 8,488 4,472 13,684 4,308 -5,224 1,328 3,738 3,524
Mortgages 16,728 17,936 18,168 19,340 17,840 19,364 17,297 18,678
Bonds 13,664 7,380 10,452 26,912 21,516 -15,796 12,142 10,771
Shares 10,224 26,872 26,744 21,392 6,432 1,768 23,492 14,084
Non-financial government enterprises 3,300 7,328 2,200 1,108 556 -680 -64 796
Bank loans 376 148 -268 368 -4 -128 7 -8
Other loans -316 1,780 3,072 -1,804 956 -532 -255 423
Other short-term paper 1,712 1,952 -436 308 -1,316 360 283 -271
Mortgages 0 -8 -4 16 -4 4 -4 3
Bonds 1,520 3,504 -160 2,184 924 -352 -95 649
Shares 8 -48 -4 36 0 -32 0 0
Federal government -43,252 -8,444 1,340 50,528 4,912 226,952 -19,787 70,933
Bank loans 140 140 148 148 144 144 139 146
Other loans 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Canada short-term paper -36,716 7,840 -1,772 57,004 14,540 189,696 -8,756 64,867
Canada savings bonds -1,544 -3,108 -812 -1,096 -964 -68 -2,168 -735
Other bonds -5,132 -13,316 3,776 -5,528 -8,808 37,180 -9,002 6,655
Other levels of government 40,072 23,448 -8,492 5,768 34,516 55,456 20,225 21,812
Bank loans -1,100 -172 748 104 524 840 312 554
Other loans 696 1,020 792 544 680 100 718 529
Other short-term paper 19,880 8,880 -23,108 10,232 22,524 43,688 6,006 13,334
Mortgages -4 0 12 -8 -4 0 -1 0
Provincial bonds 19,264 10,144 11,456 -7,272 9,724 10,636 11,318 6,136
Municipal bonds 1,384 3,852 1,568 2,136 1,076 368 1,958 1,287
Other bonds -48 -276 40 32 -8 -176 -86 -28
Total funds raised by domestic non-financial sectors 196,244 224,532 184,828 241,968 214,116 415,808 194,181 264,180
Consumer credit 33,948 36,832 38,180 32,460 30,696 24,424 34,908 31,440
Bank loans 25,612 17,912 11,288 9,116 24,540 44,756 20,057 22,425
Other loans 4,116 5,820 -5,348 -4,236 13,488 -4,340 2,905 -109
Canada short-term paper -36,716 7,840 -1,772 57,004 14,540 189,696 -8,756 64,867
Other short-term paper 30,080 15,304 -9,860 14,848 15,984 45,376 10,027 16,587
Mortgages 99,864 105,820 99,280 93,980 84,976 82,368 97,481 90,151
Bonds 29,108 8,180 26,320 17,368 23,460 31,792 14,067 24,735
Shares 10,232 26,824 26,740 21,428 6,432 1,736 23,492 14,084