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  • 1. Estimating economic cycles in semi-annual series Archived
    Articles and reports: 12-001-X198400214355
    Description:

    This paper presents a moving average which estimates the trend-cycle while eliminating seasonality from semi-annual series (observed twice yearly). The proposed average retains the power of all cycles which last three years or more; 90% of those of two years; and 55% of cycles of one year and a half. By comparison, the two by two moving average retains the power of respectively 75%, 50% and 25% of the same cycles.

    Release date: 1984-12-14
  • 2. Adjusting sub-annual series to yearly benchmarks Archived
    Articles and reports: 12-001-X198400114348
    Description:

    This paper proposes a modification to the method of Denton (1971) for adjusting sub-annual series to yearly totals. These totals originate from more reliable sources and constitute annual benchmarks. The benchmarked series derived according to the modified method is more parallel to the unbenchmarked series than this is the case with the original method. An additive and a proportional variant of the method are presented. These can easily be adapted for flow, stock and index series. Also presented are a few recommendations about the preliminary benchmarking of current data and the management of “historical” estimates of the series.

    Release date: 1984-06-15
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  • 1. Estimating economic cycles in semi-annual series Archived
    Articles and reports: 12-001-X198400214355
    Description:

    This paper presents a moving average which estimates the trend-cycle while eliminating seasonality from semi-annual series (observed twice yearly). The proposed average retains the power of all cycles which last three years or more; 90% of those of two years; and 55% of cycles of one year and a half. By comparison, the two by two moving average retains the power of respectively 75%, 50% and 25% of the same cycles.

    Release date: 1984-12-14
  • 2. Adjusting sub-annual series to yearly benchmarks Archived
    Articles and reports: 12-001-X198400114348
    Description:

    This paper proposes a modification to the method of Denton (1971) for adjusting sub-annual series to yearly totals. These totals originate from more reliable sources and constitute annual benchmarks. The benchmarked series derived according to the modified method is more parallel to the unbenchmarked series than this is the case with the original method. An additive and a proportional variant of the method are presented. These can easily be adapted for flow, stock and index series. Also presented are a few recommendations about the preliminary benchmarking of current data and the management of “historical” estimates of the series.

    Release date: 1984-06-15
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