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Relative wage patterns among the highly educated in a knowledge-based economy?

René Morissette, Yuri Ostrovsky and Garnett Picot
Business and Labour Market Analysis Division
Analytical Studies Branch research paper series, No. 232

Context

A concern among policymakers is that greater demand for high-skilled workers – caused by skill-biased technological changes and/or other forces – might not be satisfied by the existing supply of high-skilled workers and might result, at least temporarily, in fast-growing wages among university graduates in expanding industries. If so, one might expect the ratio of wages of university graduates to those of high school graduates to grow faster in high-knowledge industries than in other industries. One might also expect an acceleration of relative wage growth among university graduates with a degree in applied fields of study.

Objectives

The objectives of this study are twofold. First, the evolution of the education premium and the existence of diverging university/high school earnings ratio trends across industries in the knowledge-based economy is investigated. Second, additional information about the changing demand for high-skilled workers is provided by comparing relative wages of university graduates holding degrees in "applied" fields to those of other university graduates ("field" premium).

Findings

Even though employment grew much faster in high-knowledge industries than in other sectors during the last two decades, trends in relative wages and real wages of university and high-school graduates have displayed remarkably similar patterns across industries.

There is no evidence of an acceleration of relative wage growth among university graduates with a degree in applied fields of study.

The examination of wage patterns of highly educated workers has revealed little evidence that would support the notion of a widespread imbalance between the demand and supply of highly skilled workers in Canada .

Data source: Census, 1980-2000.

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