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Table 3
Predicted probabilities of staying, moving to a region other than Alberta and moving to Alberta, based on the coefficient estimates from multinomial logit models in Table 2
| 1996 to 2000 | 2001 to 2005 | Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stayed | Moved not to Alberta | Moved to Alberta | Stayed | Moved not to Alberta | Moved not to Alberta | Stayed | Moved not to Alberta | Moved to Alberta | |
| predicted probability 1 | percent | ||||||||
| A – Immigrants | |||||||||
| Model 1 | 98.00 | 1.80 | 0.21 | 97.79 | 1.95 | 0.26 | -0.21 | 8.35 | 28.90 |
| Model 2 | 97.97 | 1.82 | 0.20 | 97.82 | 1.92 | 0.27 | -0.16 | 5.20 | 30.91 |
| B – Comparison group | |||||||||
| Model 1 | 97.74 | 1.90 | 0.36 | 97.90 | 1.77 | 0.33 | 0.17 | -7.07 | -8.67 |
| Model 2 | 97.76 | 1.89 | 0.35 | 97.88 | 1.78 | 0.34 | 0.12 | -6.03 | -2.18 |
| C – Immigrants, with the characteristics of the comparison group | |||||||||
| Model 1 | 96.06 | 3.42 | 0.53 | 95.63 | 3.69 | 0.68 | -0.44 | 7.99 | 28.65 |
| Model 2 | 96.01 | 3.46 | 0.52 | 95.68 | 3.64 | 0.69 | -0.35 | 4.94 | 30.73 |
Multiplied by 100.
Source(s):
Statistics Canada, Longitudinal Administrative Databank.
