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Table 5
Logistic regression for the probability of interprovincial migration for women
Age | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
20 to 24 | 25 to 34 | 35 to 44 | 45 to 54 | |
change in probability from baseline (%) | ||||
Province | ||||
Ref. - Ontario | ||||
Newfoundland and Labrador | 159.1* | 58.1* | 19.5* | 42.1* |
Prince Edward Island | 120.0* | 70.5* | 30.5* | 43.0* |
Nova Scotia | 174.4* | 149.7* | 130.6* | 92.1* |
New Brunswick | 98.7* | 53.5* | 40.0* | 20.5* |
Quebec | -70.4* | -68.2* | -68.8* | -72.0* |
Manitoba | 206.2* | 240.5* | 276.7* | 234.2* |
Saskatchewan | 405.3* | 372.4* | 367.0* | 340.6* |
Alberta | 192.0* | 230.4* | 252.3* | 251.9* |
British Columbia | 109.4* | 114.1* | 107.2* | 92.6* |
Minority language | ||||
Ref. - all other | ||||
English in Quebec | 634.9* | 721.2* | 877.1* | 930.9* |
Francophone outside Quebec | 108.4* | 210.4* | 207.0* | 206.0* |
Area residence | ||||
Ref. - 500,000 and over | ||||
100,000 to 499,999 | 1.4 | 2.1* | 11.2* | 13.5* |
30,000 to 99,999 | 17.6* | 6.3* | 16.3* | 23.1* |
15,000 to 29,999 | 32.1* | 16.3* | 22.6* | 22.4* |
1,000 to 14,999 | 12.1* | 4.2* | 10.5* | 6.6* |
Rural area | -7.9* | -23.1* | -19.9* | -9.7* |
Family type | ||||
Ref. - married with children | ||||
Married, no children | 11.2* | 35.7* | 27.4* | 20.9* |
Lone parent | 3.7* | 17.2* | 26.9* | 29.8* |
Single | 67.0* | 77.7* | 57.9* | 84.0* |
Earnings | ||||
Ref. - $25,000 to $50,000 | ||||
No earnings | 4.1* | 30.7* | 66.2* | 79.1* |
$1 to $25,000 | 24.5* | 19.0* | 35.8* | 47.7* |
$50,000 to $100,000 | -7.6* | 14.3* | 35.1* | 19.9* |
Over $100,000 | 6.5 | 17.9* | 95.2* | 112.6* |
Unemployment rate1 | 10.4* | 10.8* | 11.5* | 9.6* |
Social assistance2 | 7.2* | 16.9* | 25.8* | 10.7* |
Employment insurance2 | -2.3* | 6.0* | 28.9* | 46.9* |
Years since immigration | ||||
Ref. - non-immigrant | ||||
One | -17.6* | 0.7 | 50.4* | 81.4* |
Two | -20.9* | 33.9* | 108.2* | 103.7* |
Three | -27.8* | 12.2* | 67.6* | 94.1* |
Four | -36.3* | -0.6 | 52.0* | 53.9* |
Five | -31.8* | -7.4* | 40.6* | 46.5* |
Six | -41.2* | -13.7* | 39.2* | 26.8* |
Seven | -35.1* | -18.8* | 9.9* | 31.1* |
Eight | -37.3* | -27.4* | 7.3 | 15.6* |
Nine | -38.9* | -27.2* | 15.6* | 3.8 |
Ten or more | -30.4* | -27.3* | -15.0* | -2.7 |
1. Probabilities are evaluated using the 2004 unemployment rate of 7.2%, the last available year. The marginal effect for the unemployment rate is an increase of one percentage point. 2. Recipient versus non-recipient. * statistically significant from the reference group (ref.) at 0.01 level or better Source: Statistics Canada, Longitudinal Administrative Data, 1992 to 2004. |
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