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Table 5
Logistic regression for the probability of interprovincial migration for women

  Age
20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54
change in probability from baseline (%)
Province
Ref. - Ontario
Newfoundland and Labrador 159.1* 58.1* 19.5* 42.1*
Prince Edward Island 120.0* 70.5* 30.5* 43.0*
Nova Scotia 174.4* 149.7* 130.6* 92.1*
New Brunswick 98.7* 53.5* 40.0* 20.5*
Quebec -70.4* -68.2* -68.8* -72.0*
Manitoba 206.2* 240.5* 276.7* 234.2*
Saskatchewan 405.3* 372.4* 367.0* 340.6*
Alberta 192.0* 230.4* 252.3* 251.9*
British Columbia 109.4* 114.1* 107.2* 92.6*
Minority language
Ref. - all other
English in Quebec 634.9* 721.2* 877.1* 930.9*
Francophone outside Quebec 108.4* 210.4* 207.0* 206.0*
Area residence
Ref. - 500,000 and over
100,000 to 499,999 1.4 2.1* 11.2* 13.5*
30,000 to 99,999 17.6* 6.3* 16.3* 23.1*
15,000 to 29,999 32.1* 16.3* 22.6* 22.4*
1,000 to 14,999 12.1* 4.2* 10.5* 6.6*
Rural area -7.9* -23.1* -19.9* -9.7*
Family type
Ref. - married with children
Married, no children 11.2* 35.7* 27.4* 20.9*
Lone parent 3.7* 17.2* 26.9* 29.8*
Single 67.0* 77.7* 57.9* 84.0*
Earnings
Ref. - $25,000 to $50,000
No earnings 4.1* 30.7* 66.2* 79.1*
$1 to $25,000 24.5* 19.0* 35.8* 47.7*
$50,000 to $100,000 -7.6* 14.3* 35.1* 19.9*
Over $100,000 6.5 17.9* 95.2* 112.6*
Unemployment rate1 10.4* 10.8* 11.5* 9.6*
Social assistance2 7.2* 16.9* 25.8* 10.7*
Employment insurance2 -2.3* 6.0* 28.9* 46.9*
Years since immigration
Ref. - non-immigrant
One -17.6* 0.7 50.4* 81.4*
Two -20.9* 33.9* 108.2* 103.7*
Three -27.8* 12.2* 67.6* 94.1*
Four -36.3* -0.6 52.0* 53.9*
Five -31.8* -7.4* 40.6* 46.5*
Six -41.2* -13.7* 39.2* 26.8*
Seven -35.1* -18.8* 9.9* 31.1*
Eight -37.3* -27.4* 7.3 15.6*
Nine -38.9* -27.2* 15.6* 3.8
Ten or more -30.4* -27.3* -15.0* -2.7
1. Probabilities are evaluated using the 2004 unemployment rate of 7.2%, the last available year. The marginal effect for the unemployment rate is an increase of one percentage point.
2. Recipient versus non-recipient.
* statistically significant from the reference group (ref.) at 0.01 level or better
Source: Statistics Canada, Longitudinal Administrative Data, 1992 to 2004.