Table A.1.1
Estimates and projections of population aged 0 to 29, by age group, Canada, provinces and territories, 1991 to 2036

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Table A.1.1
Estimates and projections of population aged 0 to 29, by age group, Canada, provinces and territories, 1991 to 2036
Table summary
This table displays the results of Estimates and projections of population aged 0 to 29 Canada, Newfoundland and Labrador, Prince Edward Island, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Quebec, Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta, British Columbia, Yukon, North West Territories and Nunavut, calculated using population in thousands and indices of change units of measure (appearing as column headers).
  Canada Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia Yukon Northwest Territories Nunavut
Ages 0 to 29  
  population in thousands
1991 12,317 283 59 404 335 2,994 4,579 500 459 1,235 1,416 14 22 15
1996 12,148 242 58 376 308 2,849 4,543 485 446 1,231 1,559 14 22 17
2001 12,155 197 54 350 283 2,763 4,705 475 422 1,312 1,543 12 20 18
2006 12,303 174 51 329 262 2,755 4,831 476 404 1,432 1,536 12 21 19
2011 12,591 171 51 318 252 2,776 4,918 493 431 1,542 1,585 13 20 20
2016 12,842 158 51 303 241 2,808 4,979 513 447 1,669 1,617 14 20 21
2021 13,086 146 51 291 233 2,833 5,030 529 453 1,789 1,676 14 20 22
2026 13,324 136 52 280 224 2,854 5,072 547 464 1,920 1,720 14 19 23
2031 13,761 128 53 273 219 2,928 5,193 570 478 2,075 1,787 15 19 25
2036 14,232 120 54 268 215 3,001 5,326 595 491 2,242 1,861 15 19 26
  indices of change
1991 98 165 117 127 133 108 93 101 107 80 89 105 110 75
1996 96 141 115 118 122 103 92 98 103 80 98 107 110 83
2001 97 115 107 110 112 100 96 96 98 85 97 93 101 87
2006 98 102 101 104 104 99 98 96 94 93 97 94 103 93
2011 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
2016 102 92 100 96 96 101 101 104 104 108 102 102 98 105
2021 104 85 101 91 92 102 102 107 105 116 106 105 97 110
2026 106 79 103 88 89 103 103 111 108 125 109 107 95 114
2031 109 74 105 86 87 105 106 116 111 135 113 111 95 121
2036 113 70 108 84 85 108 108 121 114 145 117 114 94 128
Ages 0 to 4  
  population in thousands
1991 1,958 38 10 62 49 457 733 83 79 212 227 3 4 3
1996 1,961 31 9 57 45 459 754 82 72 199 242 2 4 4
2001 1,758 25 8 48 39 382 707 73 62 191 215 2 3 4
2006 1,733 23 7 43 35 377 693 70 59 211 207 2 3 4
2011 1,899 25 7 44 36 437 718 78 70 250 223 2 3 4
2016 1,967 23 7 43 35 452 724 82 77 285 228 2 3 4
2021 2,083 22 8 43 35 469 769 88 80 315 245 2 3 5
2026 2,144 20 8 42 34 471 804 91 78 329 257 3 3 5
2031 2,133 18 8 40 32 454 804 92 76 339 260 3 3 5
2036 2,136 17 8 38 31 449 793 93 77 358 263 2 3 5
  indices of change
1991 103 152 130 139 134 105 102 107 113 85 102 124 127 83
1996 103 124 123 129 123 105 105 105 103 80 108 117 124 86
2001 93 102 103 109 106 87 98 93 89 76 96 88 98 84
2006 91 92 91 97 96 86 97 90 84 84 93 90 97 85
2011 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
2016 104 92 99 98 96 103 101 105 110 114 102 114 97 101
2021 110 88 105 97 95 107 107 112 114 126 110 119 99 108
2026 113 81 108 95 92 108 112 116 111 131 115 124 97 110
2031 112 73 108 89 87 104 112 117 109 135 117 124 94 115
2036 112 67 108 85 84 103 110 119 110 143 118 119 91 122
Ages 5 to 14  
  population in thousands
1991 3,837 91 20 124 105 943 1,372 159 160 398 448 5 7 5
1996 4,025 79 20 125 100 922 1,500 165 160 426 509 5 8 6
2001 4,097 64 19 118 93 924 1,601 165 148 436 510 4 7 7
2006 3,921 55 17 105 84 874 1,562 159 131 435 481 4 7 7
2011 3,729 52 16 94 76 797 1,488 155 130 444 460 4 6 7
2016 3,873 51 16 89 75 853 1,492 162 143 508 467 4 6 7
2021 4,122 49 17 90 75 928 1,537 174 158 581 495 5 7 8
2026 4,317 45 17 89 73 960 1,595 185 167 643 524 5 7 8
2031 4,506 43 18 88 72 981 1,677 194 169 692 554 5 7 9
2036 4,570 39 18 85 69 968 1,714 198 166 722 570 5 6 9
  indices of change
1991 103 174 125 132 138 118 92 103 123 90 97 115 117 77
1996 108 151 127 133 132 116 101 106 123 96 111 129 131 93
2001 110 122 121 126 122 116 108 107 113 98 111 113 130 102
2006 105 105 108 112 110 110 105 102 101 98 104 103 116 100
2011 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
2016 104 98 100 95 98 107 100 105 110 114 102 105 109 111
2021 111 93 104 96 98 117 103 113 121 131 107 115 114 123
2026 116 87 107 95 96 121 107 119 128 145 114 123 114 128
2031 121 81 111 94 94 123 113 125 129 156 120 128 114 134
2036 123 75 112 90 91 122 115 128 128 162 124 128 109 138
Ages 15 to 19  
  population in thousands
1991 1,928 55 10 68 60 465 709 82 74 182 218 2 3 2
1996 2,010 46 10 63 54 499 721 79 79 198 253 2 3 2
2001 2,116 40 10 63 51 468 805 83 80 228 281 2 3 3
2006 2,212 34 10 64 49 478 873 87 77 248 282 2 4 3
2011 2,239 30 10 58 46 496 897 88 74 248 283 2 4 3
2016 2,053 27 9 51 41 423 825 85 69 244 271 2 3 3
2021 2,035 25 9 47 38 418 805 85 70 260 270 2 3 3
2026 2,217 25 10 48 39 479 842 93 79 304 289 2 3 4
2031 2,297 23 10 48 38 493 856 98 85 336 301 3 3 4
2036 2,425 22 10 47 38 512 904 104 88 370 320 3 3 4
  indices of change
1991 86 180 102 117 129 94 79 93 101 73 77 85 85 60
1996 90 151 103 109 116 101 80 90 108 80 90 91 91 70
2001 95 131 105 108 111 94 90 94 108 92 99 106 91 78
2006 99 112 101 110 105 96 97 99 105 100 100 106 103 97
2011 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
2016 92 88 91 88 88 85 92 96 94 99 96 93 76 92
2021 91 83 90 81 83 84 90 96 95 105 95 93 78 92
2026 99 83 97 82 85 97 94 106 107 123 102 101 87 113
2031 103 75 97 82 83 100 95 111 115 136 106 110 87 116
2036 108 72 101 82 82 103 101 118 119 149 113 115 87 122
Ages 20 to 24  
  population in thousands
1991 2,086 50 10 70 57 502 799 82 67 201 239 2 4 2
1996 2,001 44 9 65 55 470 745 79 69 197 259 2 3 2
2001 2,109 36 9 61 50 516 784 78 70 230 268 2 3 2
2006 2,252 33 9 62 48 499 873 83 73 272 292 2 3 3
2011 2,354 32 9 64 48 520 921 88 79 281 302 2 4 3
2016 2,462 28 10 61 46 533 981 93 76 292 333 2 4 3
2021 2,280 25 9 55 41 463 911 89 69 287 324 2 3 3
2026 2,264 23 9 51 39 457 893 89 70 303 322 2 3 3
2031 2,450 23 10 52 40 517 932 97 78 349 343 2 3 4
2036 2,534 21 10 51 39 532 949 102 83 383 356 3 3 4
  indices of change
1991 89 155 101 109 120 96 87 93 85 72 79 89 101 73
1996 85 136 100 101 115 90 81 90 88 70 86 88 87 70
2001 90 110 95 94 106 99 85 89 89 82 89 74 85 72
2006 96 101 97 96 101 96 95 95 92 97 96 89 94 84
2011 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
2016 105 87 103 94 96 102 106 105 96 104 110 99 99 106
2021 97 75 98 85 87 89 99 101 88 102 107 90 80 97
2026 96 71 97 79 81 88 97 101 89 108 107 90 80 100
2031 104 71 103 80 84 99 101 110 99 125 113 99 88 119
2036 108 65 104 80 82 102 103 116 104 137 118 103 86 119
Ages 25 to 29  
  population in thousands
1991 2,508 49 10 81 64 627 967 94 79 243 284 3 4 2
1996 2,151 42 9 66 54 499 823 79 65 211 295 3 4 3
2001 2,074 32 8 59 50 474 807 76 62 228 270 2 3 2
2006 2,185 29 8 56 46 528 829 76 64 265 275 2 4 3
2011 2,370 31 8 57 45 527 894 84 78 319 317 3 4 3
2016 2,487 29 9 59 45 548 958 91 83 341 317 3 4 3
2021 2,565 26 9 56 44 556 1,007 93 76 347 342 3 4 3
2026 2,382 22 8 50 39 486 937 90 70 342 329 2 3 3
2031 2,375 21 8 47 37 482 923 90 71 359 329 2 3 3
2036 2,567 21 9 47 38 540 966 98 77 409 352 3 3 4
  indices of change
1991 106 158 128 141 142 119 108 112 101 76 90 105 116 80
1996 91 135 112 114 119 95 92 94 83 66 93 96 104 86
2001 87 103 101 104 110 90 90 91 79 71 85 73 86 85
2006 92 94 100 97 101 100 93 91 82 83 87 78 96 92
2011 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
2016 105 94 108 103 98 104 107 108 106 107 100 98 99 113
2021 108 82 110 98 97 105 113 111 97 109 108 98 99 116
2026 101 71 104 87 86 92 105 106 90 107 104 90 84 110
2031 100 67 103 81 81 91 103 107 90 113 104 90 84 110
2036 108 66 110 82 83 103 108 116 99 128 111 98 89 130
Notes: The population data for 1991 through 2011 are from Statistics Canada’s demographic estimates program; more precisely, final intercensal estimates for 1991 through 2006, and final postcensal estimates for 2011. Postcensal estimates are based on the latest census counts adjusted for census net undercoverage, incompletely enumerated Indian reserves and for estimated population growth that occurred since that census. Intercensal estimates are based on postcensal estimates and census counts that have been adjusted preceding and following the year considered.
The scenario used for the 2013 to 2038 projections is the medium-growth and 1991/1992 to 2010/2011 interprovincial migrations trends scenario. This scenario is defined by the following assumptions: a Canadian total fertility rate that reaches 1.67 births per woman in 2021/2022 and remains constant thereafter; a Canadian life expectancy that reaches 87.5 years for males and 89.1 years for females in 2062/2063; interprovincial migration based on the trends observed between 1991/1992 and 2010/2011; a national immigration rate that reaches 0.75% in 2022/2023 and remains constant thereafter; an annual number of non-permanent residents (Canada) that reaches 864,600 in 2021 and remains constant thereafter; a national net emigration rate of 0.19%.
For a brief description of this indicator, including the methodology, please see the Handbook for the Pan-Canadian Education Indicators Program.
Source: Statistics Canada. Estimates of population, by age group and sex for July 1, Canada, provinces and territories, annual, CANSIM Table 051-0001, published September 25, 2014; and Projected population, by projection scenario, age and sex, as of July 1, Canada, provinces and territories annual (persons x 1,000), CANSIM Table 052-0005, published September 16, 2014.
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