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| Observed crime rates | Forecasted crime rates | Error percentage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 2003 | 2003 | 2003 | |
| Homicide | 1.85 |
1.7 |
1.83 |
7.64 |
| Robbery | 85 |
90 |
93 |
3.33 |
| Break and enter | 879 |
899 |
948 |
5.50 |
| Motor vehicle theft | 516 |
541 |
539 |
-0.36 |
| Note: The forecasting error is calculated by substracting the observed value (O) from the forecast value (F) divided by the observed value (O); in other words, (F-O)/O*100. | ||||
| Data source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Centre for Justice Statistics, Uniform Crime Reporting Survey. | ||||
| Table source: Statistics Canada, 2005, Exploring Crime Patterns in Canada, catalogue number 85-561-MWE2005005. | ||||