Table 1
Summary of the main assumptions selected
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Component | Number of assumptions | Assumption |
---|---|---|
Immigration rateTable 1 Note 1 | 3 | -Low: 5.0 per 1,000 -Medium: 8.3 per 1,000 -High: 10.0 per 1,000 |
Provincial and territorial distribution of immigrants upon arrival | 3 | -Estimated between July 2010 and June 2015 -Estimated between July 2005 and June 2010 -Estimated between July 2000 and June 2005 |
Composition of immigration by country of birthTable 1 Note 2 | 2 | -Estimated between July 2010 and June 2015 -Estimated between July 2005 and June 2010 |
Net emigration rateTable 1 Note 3 | 3 | -Low: Estimated from 2002/2003 to 2011/2012, adjusted down for Ontario and British Columbia -Medium: Estimated from 2002/2003 to 2011/2012 -High: Estimated from 2002/2003 to 2011/2012, adjusted up for Ontario and British Columbia |
Differential emigration | 1 | -Estimated from 1995 to 2010 |
Net non-permanent residentsTable 1 Note 3 | 3 | -Low: Net of zero starting in 2016/2017 -Medium: Progressive levelling-off to zero in 2021/2022 -High: Progressive levelling-off to zero in 2031/2032 |
Internal migration rate | 4 | -Average: 1996/2001, 2001/2006 and 2006/2011 -Estimated between 1996 and 2001 -Estimated between 2001 and 2006 -Estimated between 2006 and 2011 |
Differential internal migration | 1 | -Average: 2000/2001, 2005/2006 and 2010/2011 |
FertilityTable 1 Note 3 | 3 | -Low: 1.53 children per woman -Medium: 1.67 children per woman -High: 1.88 children per woman |
Differential fertility | 1 | -Estimated between 2010 and 2011 |
Attribution of visible minority group to newborns | 1 | -Estimated in 2011 |
Attribution of religion to newborns | 1 | -Estimated in 2011 |
Attribution of mother tongue and language most often spoken at home to newborns | 1 | -Estimated in 2011 |
Life expectancyTable 1 Note 3Table 1 Note 4 | 3 | -Low: Males = 83.5 years / Females = 86.1 years in 2036 -Medium: Males = 84.6 years / Females = 87.2 years in 2036 -High: Males = 86.2 years / Females = 89.0 years in 2036 |
Differential mortality | 1 | -Estimated between 1991 and 2006 |
Intragenerational transition of language most spoken at home | 1 | -Estimated between 2001 and 2006 |
Intragenerational religious mobility | 2 | -Estimated between 2001 and 2011 -Estimated between 1991 and 2001 |
Marital status | 1 | -Progressive levelling-off in trends and maintenance of the gap between groups |
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