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All (12)

All (12) (0 to 10 of 12 results)

  • Articles and reports: 11-522-X202100100004
    Description:

    With labour market uncertainty increasing across Canada, there is a need for innovative ways to help displaced workers to re-skill/up-skill and potentially pivot to in-demand occupations. In our study, we present a unique approach to bridge the gap between the displaced and in-demand occupations and provide a machine learning framework that may be able to forecast employment by NAICS for 6 months. We have combined the monthly employment data from Statistics Canada’s Survey of Employment and Payroll Hours, and the monthly job ads counts from Burning Glass to achieve our goal. Our approach consists of three steps: 1.        Finding the displaced occupations in Alberta over the last 7 years based on the integrated actual employment and job ads count data. Step. 2. Using the list of displaced occupations, a unique pivot graph is developed to map a displaced occupation to a list of in-demand occupations which have skills similar to the chosen displaced occupation. Step 3.  Applying SARIMA and SARIMAX models to forecast employment for 6 months. The above approaches are aimed at assisting public policy and planning

    Key Words: Employment; Labour Market; Job Ads; Skills; Time Series Analysis; Forecasting.

    Release date: 2021-10-15

  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X200900211040
    Description:

    In this paper a multivariate structural time series model is described that accounts for the panel design of the Dutch Labour Force Survey and is applied to estimate monthly unemployment rates. Compared to the generalized regression estimator, this approach results in a substantial increase of the accuracy due to a reduction of the standard error and the explicit modelling of the bias between the subsequent waves.

    Release date: 2009-12-23

  • Articles and reports: 11-010-X20070069980
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    The labour force participation rate will inevitably decline over the next two decades. This reflects the retirement of the boomer generation and a low birth rate in recent years. Various scenarios involving increased immigration and keeping older workers in the labour force longer can mitigate but not reverse these trends

    Release date: 2007-06-15

  • Articles and reports: 75-001-X200311013101
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper looks at 'non-standard,' 'contingent' and 'precarious' employment situations, which differ from the traditional model of a stable, full-time job.

    Release date: 2003-12-08

  • Articles and reports: 11-622-M2003004
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper examines the increasing importance of high-knowledge occupations over the period 1971 to 1996. It also examines changes that have occurred for different knowledge professions, including managers, professionals and technical occupations, by industry and by geographic area.

    Release date: 2003-10-30

  • Articles and reports: 88-003-X20030026568
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    As evident by its contribution of $58.7 billion to Canada's GDP and accounting for more than 7% of business sector GDP, the ICT sector is playing an increasingly greater role in the Canadian economy. The computer and telecommunications sector represents a significant sub-set of the ICT sector and accounts for 3.9% of total economy employment. Discover highlights of a recent Statistics Canada analytical report profiling employment in computer and telecommunications industries.

    Release date: 2003-06-27

  • Articles and reports: 56F0004M2003009
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper provides a profile of employment in computer and telecommunications (CT) industries, a subset of the information and communications technology (ICT) sector. It analyses the composition and growth of employment in CT industries over the 1990 to 2002 period, and contrasts them with the rest of the economy.

    Release date: 2003-03-13

  • Articles and reports: 11F0019M2001169
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper documents the changing geography of the Canadian manufacturing sector over a twenty-two year period (1976-1997). It does so by looking at the shifts in employment, as well as other measures of industrial change, across different levels of the rural/urban hierarchy - central cities, adjacent suburbs, medium and small cities, and rural areas.

    The analysis demonstrates that the most dramatic shifts in manufacturing employment were from the central cities of large metropolitan regions to their suburbs. Paralleling trends in the United States, rural regions of Canada have increased their share of manufacturing employment. Rising rural employment shares were due to declining employment shares of small cities and, to lesser degree, large urban regions. Increasing rural employment was particularly prominent in Quebec, where employment shifted away from the Montreal region. By way of contrast, Ontario's rural regions only maintained their share of employment and the Toronto region increased its share of provincial employment over the period. The changing fortunes of rural and urban areas was not the result of across-the-board shifts in manufacturing employment, but was the net outcome of differing locational patterns across industries.

    Change across the rural/urban hierarchy is also measured in terms of wage and productivity levels, diversity, and volatility. In contrast to the United States, wages and productivity in Canada do not consistently decline moving down the rural/urban hierarchy from the largest cities to the most rural parts of the country. Only after controlling for the types of manufacturing industries found in rural and urban regions is it apparent that wages and productivity decline with the size of place. The analysis also demonstrates that over time most rural and urban regions are diversifying across a wider variety of manufacturing industries and that shifts in employment shares across industries - a measure of economic instability - has for some rural/urban classifications increased modestly.

    Release date: 2001-11-23

  • Articles and reports: 11F0019M2001177
    Geography: Census metropolitan area
    Description:

    Recent research has suggested that investment has shifted from urban areas to more rural locales. However, Canadian manufacturing remains predominantly an urban activity with more than 40% of manufacturing employment located in Canada's three largest urban regions. This paper examines the changing manufacturing landscapes of Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver and outlines the shifts in industry mix, employment, and wage levels that have taken place over the period between 1976 and 1997. The analysis uses a longitudinal plant-level database based upon the Annual Survey of Manufactures conducted by Statistics Canada.

    Toronto and Vancouver both experience growth in the manufacturing sector, while Montreal experiences decline driven by differences in their industrial structure. Manufacturing activity has increased in a number of sectors of Toronto's economy, but has been particularly influenced by the growing automotive sector that ties the city to a large North American market. Montreal has experienced declines across most of the manufacturing industries. A heavy concentration of employment in labour intensive industries such as textiles and clothing, which have experienced severe declines across Canada, has amplified the level of decline in Montreal. However, Montreal has seen some growth in science-based industries. While Vancouver's manufacturing economy is much smaller in absolute terms, maintaining slightly less than a 5% share of national manufacturing employment, it has exhibited higher levels of long-run growth and restructuring than its eastern counterparts.

    A second focus of the paper is to explore the relationship between economic volatility and diversity in the manufacturing sector using a number of statistical measures. Toronto and Montreal have diverse industrial structures, although each has become slightly more concentrated over the study period. In Montreal, this is due to the increasing importance of other industries, as the clothing and textiles industry declines. In Toronto, this can be attributed to the increased importance of the food and transportation equipment industries. Vancouver has become increasingly diversified over the study period, reflecting the growth and dynamism of this sector. The mature manufacturing economies of Toronto and Montreal exhibit lower levels of volatility than their western counterpart.

    Release date: 2001-11-23

  • Articles and reports: 11F0019M2001153
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    In this paper a dynamic employment model for women is estimated for rural and urban samples from the first four years of the Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics 1993 to 1996. The results provide evidence that there are significant differences between rural and urban labour markets. However, these do not appear to arise - as is often argued - from a lack of childcare facilities, differences in returns to human capital, or the existence of more "traditional" attitudes to the proper role of women in rural areas. The results also suggest labour market segmentation within rural areas with clear differences in employment for women belonging to low income households as shown in the decomposition results.

    Release date: 2001-02-01
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Analysis (12)

Analysis (12) (0 to 10 of 12 results)

  • Articles and reports: 11-522-X202100100004
    Description:

    With labour market uncertainty increasing across Canada, there is a need for innovative ways to help displaced workers to re-skill/up-skill and potentially pivot to in-demand occupations. In our study, we present a unique approach to bridge the gap between the displaced and in-demand occupations and provide a machine learning framework that may be able to forecast employment by NAICS for 6 months. We have combined the monthly employment data from Statistics Canada’s Survey of Employment and Payroll Hours, and the monthly job ads counts from Burning Glass to achieve our goal. Our approach consists of three steps: 1.        Finding the displaced occupations in Alberta over the last 7 years based on the integrated actual employment and job ads count data. Step. 2. Using the list of displaced occupations, a unique pivot graph is developed to map a displaced occupation to a list of in-demand occupations which have skills similar to the chosen displaced occupation. Step 3.  Applying SARIMA and SARIMAX models to forecast employment for 6 months. The above approaches are aimed at assisting public policy and planning

    Key Words: Employment; Labour Market; Job Ads; Skills; Time Series Analysis; Forecasting.

    Release date: 2021-10-15

  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X200900211040
    Description:

    In this paper a multivariate structural time series model is described that accounts for the panel design of the Dutch Labour Force Survey and is applied to estimate monthly unemployment rates. Compared to the generalized regression estimator, this approach results in a substantial increase of the accuracy due to a reduction of the standard error and the explicit modelling of the bias between the subsequent waves.

    Release date: 2009-12-23

  • Articles and reports: 11-010-X20070069980
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    The labour force participation rate will inevitably decline over the next two decades. This reflects the retirement of the boomer generation and a low birth rate in recent years. Various scenarios involving increased immigration and keeping older workers in the labour force longer can mitigate but not reverse these trends

    Release date: 2007-06-15

  • Articles and reports: 75-001-X200311013101
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper looks at 'non-standard,' 'contingent' and 'precarious' employment situations, which differ from the traditional model of a stable, full-time job.

    Release date: 2003-12-08

  • Articles and reports: 11-622-M2003004
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper examines the increasing importance of high-knowledge occupations over the period 1971 to 1996. It also examines changes that have occurred for different knowledge professions, including managers, professionals and technical occupations, by industry and by geographic area.

    Release date: 2003-10-30

  • Articles and reports: 88-003-X20030026568
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    As evident by its contribution of $58.7 billion to Canada's GDP and accounting for more than 7% of business sector GDP, the ICT sector is playing an increasingly greater role in the Canadian economy. The computer and telecommunications sector represents a significant sub-set of the ICT sector and accounts for 3.9% of total economy employment. Discover highlights of a recent Statistics Canada analytical report profiling employment in computer and telecommunications industries.

    Release date: 2003-06-27

  • Articles and reports: 56F0004M2003009
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper provides a profile of employment in computer and telecommunications (CT) industries, a subset of the information and communications technology (ICT) sector. It analyses the composition and growth of employment in CT industries over the 1990 to 2002 period, and contrasts them with the rest of the economy.

    Release date: 2003-03-13

  • Articles and reports: 11F0019M2001169
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper documents the changing geography of the Canadian manufacturing sector over a twenty-two year period (1976-1997). It does so by looking at the shifts in employment, as well as other measures of industrial change, across different levels of the rural/urban hierarchy - central cities, adjacent suburbs, medium and small cities, and rural areas.

    The analysis demonstrates that the most dramatic shifts in manufacturing employment were from the central cities of large metropolitan regions to their suburbs. Paralleling trends in the United States, rural regions of Canada have increased their share of manufacturing employment. Rising rural employment shares were due to declining employment shares of small cities and, to lesser degree, large urban regions. Increasing rural employment was particularly prominent in Quebec, where employment shifted away from the Montreal region. By way of contrast, Ontario's rural regions only maintained their share of employment and the Toronto region increased its share of provincial employment over the period. The changing fortunes of rural and urban areas was not the result of across-the-board shifts in manufacturing employment, but was the net outcome of differing locational patterns across industries.

    Change across the rural/urban hierarchy is also measured in terms of wage and productivity levels, diversity, and volatility. In contrast to the United States, wages and productivity in Canada do not consistently decline moving down the rural/urban hierarchy from the largest cities to the most rural parts of the country. Only after controlling for the types of manufacturing industries found in rural and urban regions is it apparent that wages and productivity decline with the size of place. The analysis also demonstrates that over time most rural and urban regions are diversifying across a wider variety of manufacturing industries and that shifts in employment shares across industries - a measure of economic instability - has for some rural/urban classifications increased modestly.

    Release date: 2001-11-23

  • Articles and reports: 11F0019M2001177
    Geography: Census metropolitan area
    Description:

    Recent research has suggested that investment has shifted from urban areas to more rural locales. However, Canadian manufacturing remains predominantly an urban activity with more than 40% of manufacturing employment located in Canada's three largest urban regions. This paper examines the changing manufacturing landscapes of Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver and outlines the shifts in industry mix, employment, and wage levels that have taken place over the period between 1976 and 1997. The analysis uses a longitudinal plant-level database based upon the Annual Survey of Manufactures conducted by Statistics Canada.

    Toronto and Vancouver both experience growth in the manufacturing sector, while Montreal experiences decline driven by differences in their industrial structure. Manufacturing activity has increased in a number of sectors of Toronto's economy, but has been particularly influenced by the growing automotive sector that ties the city to a large North American market. Montreal has experienced declines across most of the manufacturing industries. A heavy concentration of employment in labour intensive industries such as textiles and clothing, which have experienced severe declines across Canada, has amplified the level of decline in Montreal. However, Montreal has seen some growth in science-based industries. While Vancouver's manufacturing economy is much smaller in absolute terms, maintaining slightly less than a 5% share of national manufacturing employment, it has exhibited higher levels of long-run growth and restructuring than its eastern counterparts.

    A second focus of the paper is to explore the relationship between economic volatility and diversity in the manufacturing sector using a number of statistical measures. Toronto and Montreal have diverse industrial structures, although each has become slightly more concentrated over the study period. In Montreal, this is due to the increasing importance of other industries, as the clothing and textiles industry declines. In Toronto, this can be attributed to the increased importance of the food and transportation equipment industries. Vancouver has become increasingly diversified over the study period, reflecting the growth and dynamism of this sector. The mature manufacturing economies of Toronto and Montreal exhibit lower levels of volatility than their western counterpart.

    Release date: 2001-11-23

  • Articles and reports: 11F0019M2001153
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    In this paper a dynamic employment model for women is estimated for rural and urban samples from the first four years of the Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics 1993 to 1996. The results provide evidence that there are significant differences between rural and urban labour markets. However, these do not appear to arise - as is often argued - from a lack of childcare facilities, differences in returns to human capital, or the existence of more "traditional" attitudes to the proper role of women in rural areas. The results also suggest labour market segmentation within rural areas with clear differences in employment for women belonging to low income households as shown in the decomposition results.

    Release date: 2001-02-01
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