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  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X199400114436
    Description:

    This paper identifies some technical issues in the provision of small area data derived from censuses, administrative records and surveys. Although the issues are of a general nature, they are discussed in the context of programs at Statistics Canada. For survey-based estimates, the need for developing an overall strategy is stressed and salient features of survey design that have an impact on small area data are highlighted in the context of redesigning a household survey. A brief review of estimation methods with their strengths and weaknesses is also presented.

    Release date: 1994-06-15

  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X198600214448
    Description:

    The seasonal adjustment of a time series is not a straightforward procedure particularly when the level of a series nearly doubles in just one year. The 1981-82 recession had a very sudden great impact not only on the structure of the series but on the estimation of the trend- cycle and seasonal components at the end of the series. Serious seasonal adjustment problems can occur. For instance: the selection of the wrong decomposition model may produce underadjustment in the seasonally high months and overadjustment in the seasonally low months. The wrong decomposition model may also signal a false turning point. This article analyses these two aspects of the interplay between a severe recession and seasonal adjustment.

    Release date: 1986-12-15

  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X198500214376
    Description:

    This study purports to assess whether there are temporal relationships between Unemployment Insurance Beneficiaries, Total Unemployment, Job Losers and Job Leavers in Canada using univariate and multivariate time series methods. The results indicate that during 1975-82 the Unemployment Insurance Beneficiaries series leads: (1) Total Unemployment by one month and (2) Job Leavers by two months. On the other hand, there are evidence of a feedback relationship between Unemployment Insurance Beneficiaries and Job Losers.

    Release date: 1985-12-16
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  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X199400114436
    Description:

    This paper identifies some technical issues in the provision of small area data derived from censuses, administrative records and surveys. Although the issues are of a general nature, they are discussed in the context of programs at Statistics Canada. For survey-based estimates, the need for developing an overall strategy is stressed and salient features of survey design that have an impact on small area data are highlighted in the context of redesigning a household survey. A brief review of estimation methods with their strengths and weaknesses is also presented.

    Release date: 1994-06-15

  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X198600214448
    Description:

    The seasonal adjustment of a time series is not a straightforward procedure particularly when the level of a series nearly doubles in just one year. The 1981-82 recession had a very sudden great impact not only on the structure of the series but on the estimation of the trend- cycle and seasonal components at the end of the series. Serious seasonal adjustment problems can occur. For instance: the selection of the wrong decomposition model may produce underadjustment in the seasonally high months and overadjustment in the seasonally low months. The wrong decomposition model may also signal a false turning point. This article analyses these two aspects of the interplay between a severe recession and seasonal adjustment.

    Release date: 1986-12-15

  • Articles and reports: 12-001-X198500214376
    Description:

    This study purports to assess whether there are temporal relationships between Unemployment Insurance Beneficiaries, Total Unemployment, Job Losers and Job Leavers in Canada using univariate and multivariate time series methods. The results indicate that during 1975-82 the Unemployment Insurance Beneficiaries series leads: (1) Total Unemployment by one month and (2) Job Leavers by two months. On the other hand, there are evidence of a feedback relationship between Unemployment Insurance Beneficiaries and Job Losers.

    Release date: 1985-12-16
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