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Wednesday, March 15, 2006

Canada's international investment position

Fourth quarter 2005 Previous release

Canada's net external liabilities rose to their highest quarterly level of 2005 at the end of the year, as the value of Canada's foreign liabilities rose at a faster pace than its assets abroad.

Net external liabilities (the difference between Canada's external assets and foreign liabilities) reached $175.8 billion at the end of the fourth quarter, up 1.6% from the third.

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However, on a year-over-year basis, net external liabilities were down 2.9% compared to the $181.1 billion recorded at the end of 2004. This was the third straight year-end decline of Canada's net external liabilities.

The value of our international assets totalled $1,004.4 billion, up $5.0 billion from the third quarter. An increase in Canadian direct investment abroad and in holdings of foreign bonds explains the advance.

Canada's international liabilities increased $7.9 billion to $1,180.3 billion. An increase in foreign direct investment in Canada was largely responsible for this movement in foreign liabilities.

During the year, foreign liabilities rose $43.7 billion, nearly three-quarters of it was the result of foreign direct investment in Canada. At the same time, Canadian assets abroad rose by $49.0 billion, almost half of it coming from increased holdings of foreign bonds.

Net external liabilities at the end of December represented 12.5% of Canada's gross domestic product (GDP). This was unchanged from the end of the third quarter, but somewhat lower than the ratio of 13.7% at the end of 2004.


Note to readers

Estimates at market value

As of the first quarter of 2005, total portfolio investment (equities, bonds and money market instruments) are available at market value. These additional series are part of a multi-year initiative to improve the international investment position information. The following analysis focuses on the book value series, however, and this practice will continue until a full set of market value estimates becomes available. Annual market value estimates of foreign direct investment series will be available in May 2006.

Currency valuation

The value of assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currency are converted to Canadian dollars at the end of each period for which a balance sheet is calculated. Most of Canada's foreign assets are denominated in foreign currencies while less than half of our international liabilities are in foreign currencies.

When the Canadian dollar is appreciating in value, the restatement of the value of these assets and liabilities in Canadian dollars lowers the recorded value. The opposite is true when the dollar is depreciating.


The Canadian dollar fell marginally against the US dollar and increased against other major currencies during the quarter. However, at the end of 2005, the Canadian dollar was at 86.0 US cents, up about 3% from a year earlier. In 2005, the Canadian dollar gained 15% against the pound sterling, 18% against the euro and 19% against the yen.

Holdings of foreign bonds significantly increased

Canadian holdings of foreign bonds increased significantly to reach $79.4 billion at the end of the quarter; up 7.3% from a quarter earlier and the tenth consecutive quarterly advance. Most of the increase was directed to US bonds. Canadian holdings of foreign money market paper amounted to $13.1 billion at the end of the fourth quarter, up 4.8% from the third.

Holdings of foreign stocks reached $180.6 billion, up $1.5 billion from the third quarter. The fourth-quarter purchase of foreign stocks was partly offset by a decline in the value of foreign stocks already held resulting from the appreciation of the Canadian dollar against foreign currencies (excluding the US dollar).

On a year-over-year basis, Canadian holdings of foreign bonds increased by $21.9 billion, or 38.1%, from the end of 2004. Canadian demand for foreign bonds was strong during the entire year as Canadians bought a record amount of bonds during the year. At the same time, Canadian holdings of foreign stocks fell 3.2% from the end of 2004.

Canada's international reserves closed the year at $38.0 billion, down about $500 million from the third quarter, and the lowest level since the second quarter of 1999. Canada's international reserve position has followed a downward slope since the peak of $56.2 billion reached at the end of 2002.

Moderate rise in Canadian direct investment abroad

Canadian direct investment abroad reached $457.3 billion at the end of the fourth quarter, up 1.2% from the end of the third quarter. The increase in direct investment abroad was due to transactions valued at $8.3 billion, which were offset by a $2.7-billion decline caused by the appreciation of the Canadian dollar against overseas currencies.

During 2005, the Canadian direct investment abroad position increased by $12.2 billion. Canadian direct investment in the United States increased by $15.5 billion, but this was partially offset by a $3.3-billion decline in Canadian direct investment in all other countries combined.

Higher foreign direct investment in Canada

Foreign direct investment in Canada rose $10.0 billion to $398.4 billion at the end of the fourth quarter. This increase came mostly from acquisitions of Canadian firms by foreign investors, largely from overseas countries.

For the first time in more than two decades, foreign direct investment in Canada surpassed foreign holdings of Canadian bonds as the largest component of the nation's foreign liabilities.

At the end of December, foreign direct investment accounted for 33.8% of Canada's liabilities, while foreign holdings of Canadian bonds accounted for 32.8%.

In 2005, foreign direct investment in Canada increased by $32.7 billion compared to the 2004 year-end level.

Significant quarterly change in foreign holdings of Canadian money market paper

After dropping sharply in the third quarter, foreign holdings of Canadian money market paper rebounded strongly in the fourth quarter, increasing by more than 17% to $20.8 billion. The position of short-term paper issued by the federal government (including federal government enterprises) rose by $1.9 billion to $14.3 billion.

At the same time, foreign holdings of Canadian bonds reached $387.0 billion at the end of December, down $2.7 billion from the end of September.

Finally, foreign holdings of Canadian stocks increased slightly to $112.8 billion at the end of the fourth quarter. On a year-over-year basis, the foreign position in Canadian stocks increased $4.2 billion. The S&P/TSX Composite Index gained almost 22% in 2005.

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Available on CANSIM: tables 376-0055 to 376-0057 and 376-0059.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 1537.

The fourth quarter 2005 issue of Canada's International Investment Position (67-202-XIE, $23/$51) will be available soon.

For general information, contact Client Services (613-951-1855; infobalance@statcan.gc.ca). To enquire about the methods, concepts or data quality of this release, contact Eric Simard (613-951-7244) or Christian Lajule (613-951-2062) Balance of Payments Division.

Canada's international investment position at period-end
  Fourth quarter 2004 First quarter 2005 Second quarter 2005 Third quarter 2005 Fourth quarter 2005
  $ billions
Assets          
Canadian direct investment abroad 445.1 452.7 462.1 451.7 457.3
Portfolio investment abroad          
Foreign bonds 57.5 62.9 67.8 74.0 79.4
Foreign bonds at market value 61.9 67.5 74.6 80.0 85.9
Foreign stocks 186.7 185.8 185.7 179.1 180.6
Foreign stocks at market value 368.9 367.3 375.7 383.7 398.3
Foreign money market 11.1 11.0 12.2 12.5 13.1
Foreign money market at market value 11.1 11.0 12.2 12.5 13.1
Other investment          
Loans 56.0 59.3 57.6 56.6 53.3
Allowances -10.9 -10.8 -10.9 -10.7 -10.6
Deposits 112.5 120.1 126.1 134.2 125.0
Official international reserves 40.3 43.1 41.8 38.5 38.0
Other assets 57.2 61.3 64.1 63.7 68.5
Total assets          
at book value 955.4 985.5 1,006.3 999.4 1,004.4
with portfolio investment at market value 1,142.1 1,171.5 1,203.2 1,210.1 1,228.7
Liabilities          
Foreign direct investment in Canada 365.7 369.5 374.7 388.4 398.4
Portfolio investment          
Canadian bonds 405.1 402.7 403.9 389.7 387.0
Canadian bonds at market value 437.7 434.7 445.2 424.3 415.8
Canadian stocks 108.6 110.5 109.3 112.0 112.8
Canadian stocks at market value 242.3 256.7 261.5 298.2 308.7
Canadian money market 19.6 18.6 19.7 17.7 20.8
Canadian money market at market value 19.7 18.7 19.8 17.8 20.9
Other investment          
Loans 39.7 48.9 50.1 43.3 39.3
Deposits 176.0 175.2 181.2 198.9 201.6
Other liabilities 21.9 22.2 22.4 22.5 20.3
Total liabilities          
at book value 1,136.6 1,147.6 1,161.3 1,172.4 1,180.3
with portfolio investment at market value 1,303.0 1,325.9 1,354.9 1,393.4 1,405.0
Net international investment position          
at book value -181.1 -162.2 -155.0 -173.0 -175.8
with portfolio investment at market value -160.9 -154.3 -151.7 -183.3 -176.4



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Date Modified: 2006-03-15 Important Notices