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Business Conditions Survey: Traveller accommodation industries

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Second quarter 2009 (outlook) (Previous release)

Canada's hoteliers were not optimistic in their outlook for the second quarter of 2009. Their business expectations were more negative than they were the first quarter.

Over three-quarters (78%) of hoteliers expected the number of room nights booked and the occupancy rates to be lower for the second quarter, compared with the same quarter last year. Similarly, 73% anticipated fewer corporate travellers.

More than half of hotel operators (57%) reported that they were expecting average daily room rates to be lower, compared with 10% that anticipated rates would be higher.

Almost three-quarters of respondents expected that the number of hours worked by their employees would decline, while 2% expected increases.

Over half of respondents cited regional economic conditions as a major impediment. In contrast, 12% indicated this as an impediment one year ago. The next two most-cited impediments were excess room supply (36%), and exchange rate fluctuations (28%).

Note: The Business Conditions Survey for the traveller accommodation industries is a voluntary survey, which was sent to 1,426 businesses, mostly hotels. It was conducted in March/April 2009 to assess the second quarter outlook for key indicators compared with the same period last year. These indicators include bookings, occupancy rates, average daily room rates, hours worked by employees, and number of corporate travellers.

Results are based on survey questionnaires sent to traveller accommodation providers and are weighted by their operating revenues.

The survey is made possible with the support of industry partners, the Canadian Tourism Commission, the Ontario Ministry of Tourism, Tourism Saskatchewan, Nova Scotia Department of Tourism, Culture and Heritage and Industry Canada.

Available on CANSIM: tables 351-0004 and 351-0005.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 5050.

For more information, to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Evelyn Park (613-951-3506; fax: 613-951-6696; evelyn.park@statcan.gc.ca), Service Industries Division.

Table 1

Traveller accommodation industries
  Second quarter 2008 Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter 2008 First quarter 2009 Second quarter 2009
Number of room nights booked will be:          
About the same (%) 44 37 44 26 18
Higher (%) 26 12 10 7 3
Lower (%) 29 51 47 67 78
Balance of opinion -3 -39 -37 -60 -75
Occupancy rate will be:          
About the same (%) 41 38 46 26 18
Higher (%) 30 14 10 8 4
Lower (%) 29 49 44 66 78
Balance of opinion 0 -35 -33 -59 -74
Number of corporate/commercial travellers will be:          
About the same (%) 55 46 54 31 24
Higher (%) 21 12 10 4 3
Lower (%) 24 42 36 65 73
Balance of opinion -4 -31 -27 -61 -70
Average daily room rate will be:          
About the same (%) 37 35 46 50 33
Higher (%) 48 34 27 13 10
Lower (%) 14 31 27 37 57
Balance of opinion 34 3 0 -23 -46
Total number of hours worked by employees will be:          
About the same (%) 62 53 56 35 26
Higher (%) 19 13 10 2 2
Lower (%) 19 34 34 63 72
Balance of opinion 0 -20 -24 -61 -71
  First quarter 2008 Second quarter 2008 Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter  2008 First quarter 2009
  %
Business impediments          
Regional economic conditions 12 23 29 46 54
Excess room supply 31 26 27 32 36
Exchange rate fluctuations 43 53 46 40 28
Lack of attractions or complementary facilities in the vicinity 17 17 16 19 20
Shortage of skilled labour 28 27 28 19 11
Shortage of unskilled labour 31 28 31 16 10
Canada's reputation as a desired tourist destination 13 17 16 15 10
Abnormal weather and/or natural disasters 11 8 9 19 8
Security concerns 5 4 3 5 3
Public health 1 0 1 1 0
No difficulties at this time 23 17 17 15 10
Note(s):
The data are based on rounded figures.