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Third quarter 2009 and September 2009 (Previous release)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 0.1% in the third quarter, the first quarterly gain since the third quarter of 2008. Final domestic demand advanced 1.2%, as capital investment and personal expenditures both increased. Real GDP was up 0.4% in September, as most major industrial sectors increased their production.

Final domestic demand was bolstered by a second consecutive quarterly gain in personal expenditures and the first expansion in business capital expenditure since the fourth quarter of 2007. Export and import volumes both increased after many quarters of decline.

Final domestic demand advances again

The output of services-producing industries increased 0.6%, with the wholesale and retail trade sectors and real estate agents and brokers leading the way. Goods-producing industries (-1.4%) continued their downward trend that started in the third quarter of 2007, with the mining and oil and gas extraction contributing the most to the decrease as a result of temporary shutdowns.

Contributions to percent change in GDP, third quarter 2009

Note to readers

Percentage changes for expenditure-based and industry-based statistics (such as personal expenditures, investment, exports, imports and output) are calculated using volume measures that are adjusted for price variations. Percentage changes for income-based statistics (such as labour income, corporate profits and farm income) are calculated using nominal values, that is, not adjusted for price variations.

The Frequently asked questions section on the National economic accounts module of our website has been updated with a series of questions and answers pertaining to recent economic events and how they are treated within the national economic accounts.

Additional data tables are available in Canadian Economic Accounts Quarterly Review (13-010-X, free).

The Canadian economy expanded at an annualized rate of 0.4% in the third quarter, compared with a 2.8% increase for the US economy.

Table 1

Real gross domestic product, chained (2002) dollars1
  Change Annualized change Year-over-year change
  %
First quarter 2008 -0.2 -0.7 1.7
Second quarter 2008 0.1 0.3 0.7
Third quarter 2008 0.1 0.4 0.3
Fourth quarter 2008 -0.9 -3.7 -1.0
First quarter 2009 -1.6 -6.2 -2.3
Second quarter 2009 -0.8 -3.1 -3.2
Third quarter 2009 0.1 0.4 -3.2
The change is the growth rate from one period to the next. The annualized change is the growth rate compounded annually. The year-over-year change is the growth rate of a given quarter compared with the same quarter in a previous year.

Personal spending advances

Consumer spending on goods and services rose 0.8%, the biggest increase since the fourth quarter of 2007. Households increased their spending on durable goods (+2.4%), particularly on new and used motor vehicles and on furniture. Purchases of services advanced 0.7%, similar to the previous quarter.

Investment in machinery and equipment increases

Business investment in machinery and equipment grew 5.9% in the third quarter, following five quarters of decline. Outlays on motor vehicles and industrial machinery led the surge.

Businesses reduced investment in non-residential structures by 3.6%, the fourth consecutive quarterly decline.

Investment in residential structures advanced for a second consecutive quarter. A 13% gain pushed ownership transfer costs related to housing resale activity to a record high. Investment in new housing construction fell 4.2%, following steeper declines in the first two quarters of the year. Renovation activity grew 2.8%, similar to the second quarter increase.

Government investment in buildings and engineering projects grew by 5.6%, the fourth consecutive quarter in which growth has been 4% or higher.

Export demand grows

Exports of goods and services advanced 3.6% in the third quarter, the first increase since the second quarter of 2007. A 28% jump in exports of automotive products was the major contributor to the overall strength. Nonetheless, automobile exports were 29% lower than the third quarter of 2008. Energy product exports were up (+9.2%) in the quarter.

Exports and imports increase after extended downturn

Imports grew 8.0% in the third quarter, following four consecutive quarters of decline. While gains were widespread, increases in the imports of automobile products (+25%) as well as machinery and equipment (+9.8%) were notable.

Non-farm inventories fall again

Non-farm inventories were drawn down for the third consecutive quarter. Manufacturing inventories were the main contributor to the draw down.

Farm inventories accumulated in the third quarter, after a drop in the second quarter.

The economy wide stock-to-sales ratio edged down, reversing the upward trend of the previous five quarters. Businesses held inventories equivalent to 69 days of sales, down from 71 days in the second quarter.

Prices up in the third quarter

The price of goods and services produced in Canada was up 0.8%, following a small increase in the second quarter. The price of final domestic demand edged down 0.1% in the third quarter, as prices for machinery and equipment fell 3.3%. Prices for consumer goods and services rose 0.2%.

Purchasing power increases

Real gross domestic income, a measure of the purchasing power Canada acquires from its production of goods and services, grew 0.8% in the third quarter, following four quarters of decline. Canada's terms of trade, a measure of export prices relative to import prices, strengthened for the second consecutive quarter, as import prices (-3.7%) fell more quickly than export prices (-1.4%).

Table 2

Real gross domestic income, volume index (2002=100)
  Change Annualized change Year-over-year change
  %
First quarter 2008 0.5 2.2 4.0
Second quarter 2008 1.3 5.5 3.9
Third quarter 2008 -0.3 -1.1 3.1
Fourth quarter 2008 -4.3 -16.0 -2.7
First quarter 2009 -3.4 -12.9 -6.5
Second quarter 2009 -0.4 -1.6 -8.2
Third quarter 2009 0.8 3.3 -7.1
The change is the growth rate from one period to the next. The annualized change is the growth rate compounded annually. The year-over-year change is the growth rate of a given quarter compared with the same quarter in a previous year.

Economy-wide incomes return to growth

Nominal GDP increased 0.8% in the quarter, led by a 5.2% gain in corporate profits. Both had registered decreases over the previous three quarters. Non-financial and financial industries recorded higher profits in the third quarter.

Labour income (in nominal terms) was virtually unchanged, after decreases in the first two quarters of 2009. Employment was down in the third quarter while average hours worked were up slightly. An increase in government sector labour income offset a decrease in the business sector.

Personal saving rate moves downward

The personal saving rate was 4.8%, down from the previous quarter, as personal outlays advanced 0.8%. Personal income increased 0.3% as income from government transfers rose 1.4%.

Gross domestic product by industry, September 2009

Real gross domestic product rose 0.4% in September, after levelling off between June and August. Most major industrial sectors increased their production in September. Goods-producing industries advanced 0.9%, the first increase since July 2008, bolstered by mining and manufacturing. The services-producing industries continued to grow (+0.3%), on the strength of retail trade in particular. Conversely, accommodation and food services, utilities as well as agriculture retreated.

Real gross domestic product rises in September

The output of the mining sector excluding oil and gas extraction grew 5.6%, mainly as a result of the reopening of some mines after shutdowns in July and August. Both non-metallic mineral mines (which includes diamonds) and iron ore mines increased their production substantially. Oil and gas extraction advanced 0.9% as a result of an increase in petroleum extraction, while natural gas facilities lowered their production.

The 1.1% increase in manufacturing output was widespread, with 15 of the 21 major groups advancing. Notable increases were recorded in the manufacturing of primary metals, beverage and tobacco products, plastics and rubber products as well as transportation equipment.

Value added in the retail trade sector rose 1.1% in September, with gains in most of the trade groups. Automotive products, as well as food and beverage stores, reported appreciable increases. The volume of activity in wholesaling advanced 0.4% in September, reflecting the strength in exports and manufacturing as well as the increased demand from retailers.

Construction activity was up 0.2% in September. Residential building construction and engineering and repairs work rose, while non-residential building construction retreated. Increased activity in the home resale market translated into a 2.8% advance in the output of real estate agents and brokers.

Main industrial sectors' contribution to the percent change in gross domestic product, September 2009

The accommodation and food services sector retreated, despite an increase in the number of international travellers coming to Canada. The decline in agriculture was largely attributable to weak crop production. Utilities were down due to weaker demand for both electricity and natural gas.

Products, services and contact information

Detailed analysis and tables

The National economic accounts module, accessible from the home page of our website, features an up-to-date portrait of national and provincial economies and their structure.

Detailed analysis on today's releases from the national accounts, including additional tables, can be found in the third quarter 2009 issue of Canadian Economic Accounts Quarterly Review, Vol. 8, no. 3 (13-010-X, free), which is now available from the Publications module of our website.

Gross domestic product by industry

Available on CANSIM: table 379-0027.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number, including related surveys, 1301.

The September 2009 issue of Gross Domestic Product by Industry, Vol. 23, no. 9 (15-001-X, free) is now available from the Publications module of our website.

For more information or to order data, contact our dissemination officer (613-951-4623; toll-free 1-800-887-4623; iad-info-dci@statcan.gc.ca). To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Bernard Lefrançois (613-951-3622), Industry Accounts Division.

Income and expenditure accounts

Available on CANSIM: tables 380-0001 to 380-0017, 380-0019 to 380-0035, 380-0056, 380-0059 to 380-0062 and 382-0006.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 1901 and 2602.

The National Income and Expenditure Accounts: Data Tables (13-019-X, free), and Estimates of Labour Income: Data Tables (13-021-X, free) are also now available from the Publications module of our website.

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, consult the Guide to the Income and Expenditure Accounts (13-017-X, free) or contact the information officer (613-951-3640; iead-info-dcrd@statcan.gc.ca), Income and Expenditure Accounts Division.

Table 3

Canadian economic accounts key indicators1
  Second quarter 2008 Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter 2008 First quarter 2009 Second quarter 2009 Third quarter 2009 2007 2008
  Seasonally adjusted at annual rates      
  millions of dollars at current prices
Gross domestic product by income and by expenditure                
Wages, salaries and supplementary labour income 820,916 827,116 831,936 824,492 820,352 820,412 784,839 823,116
  1.0 0.8 0.6 -0.9 -0.5 0.0 5.6 4.9
Corporation profits before taxes 229,532 237,708 182,900 147,508 131,168 137,952 204,131 215,799
  7.7 3.6 -23.1 -19.4 -11.1 5.2 4.1 5.7
Interest and miscellaneous investment income 85,660 86,136 77,568 66,036 66,108 70,392 71,847 81,484
  11.9 0.6 -9.9 -14.9 0.1 6.5 7.7 13.4
Net income of unincorporated business 95,500 97,860 98,108 96,204 98,168 99,924 90,407 96,246
  2.1 2.5 0.3 -1.9 2.0 1.8 4.4 6.5
Taxes less subsidies 166,016 166,464 163,220 160,076 161,816 162,888 166,443 165,017
  1.0 0.3 -1.9 -1.9 1.1 0.7 3.7 -0.9
Personal disposable income 948,596 955,512 960,852 957,152 968,324 971,120 897,562 950,948
  1.0 0.7 0.6 -0.4 1.2 0.3 5.3 5.9
Personal saving rate2 3.4 3.1 4.9 4.9 5.5 4.8 2.5 3.7
  ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
  millions of chained (2002) dollars
Personal expenditure on consumer goods and services 812,310 813,469 807,018 804,161 807,682 813,835 787,063 810,723
  0.3 0.1 -0.8 -0.4 0.4 0.8 4.6 3.0
Government current expenditure on goods and services 264,477 264,462 266,084 267,505 269,666 272,967 254,740 264,142
  1.1 -0.0 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.2 3.3 3.7
Gross fixed capital formation 318,118 318,616 305,999 286,610 282,922 288,951 312,482 315,265
  -0.1 0.2 -4.0 -6.3 -1.3 2.1 3.7 0.9
Investment in inventories 14,466 14,872 10,386 -10,570 -9,159 -5,815 15,006 12,272
  ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Exports of goods and services 493,352 488,152 464,964 425,584 403,076 417,723 510,323 486,255
  -1.0 -1.1 -4.8 -8.5 -5.3 3.6 1.1 -4.7
Imports of goods and services 589,968 584,824 547,196 483,115 474,549 512,501 572,078 576,905
  0.7 -0.9 -6.4 -11.7 -1.8 8.0 5.8 0.8
Gross domestic product at market prices 1,324,093 1,325,452 1,312,880 1,292,079 1,282,096 1,283,227 1,315,907 1,321,360
  0.1 0.1 -0.9 -1.6 -0.8 0.1 2.5 0.4
Gross domestic product by industry at basic prices                
Goods producing industries 365,936 365,810 356,397 338,882 325,331 320,934 373,164 363,625
  -0.1 -0.0 -2.6 -4.9 -4.0 -1.4 0.7 -2.6
Industrial production 263,941 263,682 255,369 242,030 230,791 227,529 273,529 261,955
  -0.3 -0.1 -3.2 -5.2 -4.6 -1.4 0.1 -4.2
Energy sector 83,929 84,492 83,264 81,884 77,489 76,748 86,732 84,147
  -1.1 0.7 -1.5 -1.7 -5.4 -1.0 1.1 -3.0
Manufacturing 174,593 172,800 165,643 153,128 147,573 147,230 182,297 171,906
  0.0 -1.0 -4.1 -7.6 -3.6 -0.2 -1.3 -5.7
Non-durable manufacturing 68,532 67,745 66,018 64,124 62,405 62,432 70,835 67,604
  0.6 -1.1 -2.5 -2.9 -2.7 0.0 -2.3 -4.6
Durable manufacturing 106,397 105,400 99,819 88,794 84,889 84,498 111,904 104,617
  -0.4 -0.9 -5.3 -11.0 -4.4 -0.5 -0.5 -6.5
Construction 74,386 75,016 74,362 71,191 69,863 69,591 72,414 74,452
  0.5 0.8 -0.9 -4.3 -1.9 -0.4 3.9 2.8
Services producing industries 870,737 871,586 866,563 861,716 863,741 869,179 850,999 869,154
  0.3 0.1 -0.6 -0.6 0.2 0.6 3.6 2.1
Wholesale trade 72,201 70,795 67,321 64,641 64,771 66,058 70,318 70,693
  -0.4 -1.9 -4.9 -4.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 0.5
Retail trade 75,278 75,346 74,186 73,462 73,656 74,604 72,808 74,963
  0.3 0.1 -1.5 -1.0 0.3 1.3 5.4 3.0
Transportation and warehousing 58,778 58,635 57,425 55,975 55,321 55,900 58,045 58,323
  0.6 -0.2 -2.1 -2.5 -1.2 1.0 1.9 0.5
Finance, insurance, real estate and renting 246,472 247,014 246,830 247,182 250,967 253,434 241,258 246,623
  0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.1 1.5 1.0 4.0 2.2
Information and communication technologies 59,598 59,741 59,629 58,897 58,623 58,581 57,816 59,536
  0.7 0.2 -0.2 -1.2 -0.5 -0.1 4.4 3.0
not applicable
The first line is the series itself expressed in millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates. The second line is the quarter-to-quarter percentage change at quarterly rates.
Actual rate.

Table 4

Monthly gross domestic product by industry at basic prices in chained (2002) dollars
  April 2009r May 2009r June 2009r July 2009r August 2009r September 2009p September 2009 September 2008 to September 2009
  Seasonally adjusted
  month-to-month % change $ millions¹ % change
All industries -0.4  -0.4  0.1  0.0  -0.1  0.4  1,188,603 -3.5 
Goods-producing industries -1.6  -1.4  -0.6  -0.3  -0.7  0.9  322,035 -11.3 
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting -1.3 -1.4 -1.3 -1.8 -2.3 -0.5 23,436 -12.7
Mining and oil and gas extraction -2.9 -1.9 -1.0 -1.0 -2.0 1.8 49,078 -12.1
Utilities -2.3 -0.8 -0.8 -2.3 2.0 -0.4 28,949 -6.4
Construction -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.1 0.3 0.2 69,760 -6.9
Manufacturing -1.3 -1.7 -0.2 0.6 -0.7 1.1 147,931 -13.9
Services-producing industries 0.1  0.0  0.4  0.2  0.2  0.3  871,204 -0.0 
Wholesale trade 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.3 -0.3 0.4 66,169 -5.8
Retail trade -0.6 0.5 0.6 -0.1 0.6 1.1 75,293 -0.2
Transportation and warehousing -0.8 -0.7 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 56,190 -3.6
Information and cultural industries -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 45,736 -1.4
Finance, insurance and real estate 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.3 254,088 2.7
Professional, scientific and technical services -0.0 -0.3 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 60,144 -1.7
Administrative and waste management services -0.5 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2 29,626 -5.1
Education services -0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.0 60,858 0.6
Health care and social assistance 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 81,330 2.4
Arts, entertainment and recreation 0.4 -2.3 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 11,151 0.1
Accommodation and food services -0.1 -0.9 -0.3 0.6 0.6 -0.4 26,644 -1.4
Other services (except public administration) -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.0 32,165 -0.4
Public administration 0.1 0.2 0.1 -0.3 0.7 0.3 72,229 1.6
Other aggregations                
Industrial production -2.0 -1.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.9 1.2 228,601 -12.4
Non-durable manufacturing industries -2.5 0.6 0.8 -0.7 -0.4 1.0 62,746 -7.1
Durable manufacturing industries -0.3 -3.5 -0.9 1.6 -1.0 1.2 84,881 -18.8
Business sector industries -0.5 -0.5 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.5 984,725 -4.4
Non-business sector industries 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.0 0.3 0.2 203,954 1.3
Information and communication technologies industries 0.2 -0.5 0.0 -0.0 0.4 -0.5 58,467 -2.2
Energy sector -3.4 -1.5 1.2 -0.9 -0.9 0.8 76,897 -7.8
revised
preliminary
Millions of chained (2002) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates.

Table 5

Gross domestic product, implicit chain price indexes
  Second quarter 2008 Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter 2008 First quarter 2009 Second quarter 2009 Third quarter 2009
  Using seasonally adjusted data (2002=100)
  quarterly % change
Personal expenditure on consumer goods and services 0.8 0.9 -0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2
Business gross fixed capital formation 1.4 1.3 3.3 0.3 -1.2 -0.9
Exports of goods and services 7.4 3.1 -4.1 -7.2 -3.2 -1.4
Imports of goods and services 3.8 4.5 5.7 -1.6 -4.2 -3.7
Gross domestic product at market prices 2.4 0.8 -2.9 -1.5 0.2 0.8
Final domestic demand 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 -0.1

Table 6

Gross domestic product, implicit chain price indexes
  Second quarter 2008 Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter 2008 First quarter 2009 Second quarter 2009 Third quarter 2009
  Using seasonally adjusted data (2002=100)
  year-over-year % change
Personal expenditure on consumer goods and services 1.5 2.3 1.6 1.3 0.6 -0.1
Business gross fixed capital formation 1.8 3.2 7.1 6.5 3.7 1.4
Exports of goods and services 10.8 17.6 12.4 -1.4 -11.1 -15.0
Imports of goods and services 1.1 9.1 18.9 12.8 4.2 -4.0
Gross domestic product at market prices 4.9 5.8 1.6 -1.3 -3.4 -3.5
Final domestic demand 1.6 3.1 3.3 2.8 1.8 0.6