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Monthly Survey of Manufacturing

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January 2010 (Previous release)

Manufacturing sales rose 2.4% in January to $44.6 billion. With this gain, sales have advanced for five consecutive months.

Sales gains were broadly based in January, with 17 of 21 industries reporting increases compared with December. Some of the larger gains included advances in primary metals, and petroleum and coal products.

Constant dollar manufacturing sales increased 2.2% in January, reaching the highest sales level since November 2008.

Manufacturing sales continue to recover in January

Widespread increases in manufacturing sales

Most industries reported an increase in sales for January. Primary metal manufacturers led the gains, up 8.5% compared with December. Sales by primary metal manufacturers have been improving steadily since July 2009. The increase in January was partly due to a rise in production after several plants were shutdown during December.

Sales of plastic and rubber products advanced 5.6% in January. Most of the gains in this industry reflected increases by tire manufacturers.

The petroleum and coal products industry reported a sales increase of 3.4% in January. Price increases rather than improved volumes were behind most of this advance.

The transportation equipment industry was one of only four industries to report weaker sales in January. The decrease was led by aerospace product and parts production, which declined 3.4% in January, giving back a small portion of the 28.5% increase recorded the previous month.

Note to readers

All data in this release are seasonally adjusted and are expressed in current dollars unless otherwise specified.

Preliminary data are provided for the current reference month. Revised data, based on late responses, are updated for the three previous months.

Non-durable goods industries include food, beverage and tobacco products, textile mills, textile product mills, clothing, leather and allied products, paper, printing and related support activities, petroleum and coal products, chemicals, and plastics and rubber products.

Durable goods industries include wood products, non-metallic mineral products, primary metals, fabricated metal products, machinery, computer and electronic products, electrical equipment, appliances and components, transportation equipment, furniture and related products and miscellaneous manufacturing.

Production-based industries

For the aerospace industry and shipbuilding industries, the value of production is used instead of sales of goods manufactured. This value is calculated by adjusting monthly sales of goods manufactured by the monthly change in inventories of goods in process and finished products manufactured.

Unfilled orders are a stock of orders that will contribute to future sales assuming that the orders are not cancelled.

New orders are those received whether sold in the current month or not. New orders are measured as the sum of sales for the current month plus the change in unfilled orders from the previous month to the current month.

Most provinces report strong gains

Stronger manufacturing sales were reported in seven provinces in January, led by British Columbia, Quebec and Ontario.

Manufacturers in British Columbia reported a 4.2% rise in sales, reversing a 2.7% decrease the previous month. Other than December, sales in British Columbia had increased every month since August 2009. Gains in January were focused in the primary metals and wood product industries.

Sales in Quebec increased for a fourth consecutive month, up 3.2% from December. The two largest contributors to the provincial sales gains were computer and electronic products, and petroleum and coal products. These advances were partially offset by a 5.8% drop in the transportation equipment industry.

Primary metal and petroleum and coal product manufacturers were behind the gains in Ontario for January. Sales in Ontario have generally been improving since June 2009.

Sales in the Atlantic provinces were up 3.2% in January. Strong gains in New Brunswick (+6.8%) and Nova Scotia (+5.5%) were partially offset by decreased sales in Newfoundland and Labrador (-11.0%) and Prince Edward Island (-7.2%).

Inventory levels stabilize

Inventory levels remained unchanged in January. Manufacturers had shed $8.8 billion or 12.8% of their inventories between October 2008 and September 2009, before levelling off in recent months.

Petroleum and coal product inventories declined 2.1%, despite rising prices. This was the first decrease in petroleum inventories in four months.

Inventory levels stabilize

The largest inventory increase reported was in the chemical product industry (+1.7%), much of which was in the pharmaceutical and medicine sector.

The inventory-to-sales ratio declined for the seventh time in eight months, dropping to 1.33 in January. This was the lowest ratio since September 2008, and was more consistent with levels seen prior to the economic downturn.

The inventory-to-sales ratio lowest since September 2008

Unfilled orders advance

The backlog of unfilled orders advanced 0.4% in January to $52.6 billion, following a 2.2% gain the previous month. This was the first back-to-back increase in unfilled orders since October and November 2008.

Unfilled orders continued their descent in the aerospace industry, decreasing by 3.1% in January. This was the sixth decrease in unfilled orders in seven months for aerospace product and parts manufacturers.

In contrast, excluding the aerospace industry, unfilled orders have increased in three of the previous four months, advancing 3.2% in January.

Unfilled orders rise in January

New orders edged up 0.2% in January to $44.8 billion, the highest level since November 2008. New orders have been generally rising since June 2009.

Available on CANSIM: tables 304-0014, 304-0015 and 377-0008.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 2101.

Data from the February Monthly Survey of Manufacturing will be released on April 16.

For more information, or to order data, contact the dissemination officer (toll-free 1-866-873-8789; 613-951-9497; fax: 613-951-3877; manufact@statcan.gc.ca). To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Elton Cryderman (613-951-4317, elton.cryderman@statcan.gc.ca), Manufacturing and Energy Division.

Table 1

Manufacturing: Principal statistics
  January 2009 December 2009r January 2010p December 2009 to January 2010 January 2009 to January 2010
  Seasonally adjusted
  $ millions % change1
Manufacturing sales (current dollars) 40,557 43,547 44,601 2.4 10.0
Manufacturing sales (2002 constant dollars) 37,442 40,109 40,990 2.2 9.5
Manufacturing sales excluding motor vehicles, parts and accessories (current dollars) 37,807 38,209 39,215 2.6 3.7
Total inventories 66,529 59,336 59,307 0.0 -10.9
Unfilled orders 66,659 52,448 52,635 0.4 -21.0
New orders 37,551 44,698 44,787 0.2 19.3
Inventory-to-sales ratio 1.64 1.36 1.33 ... ...
revised
preliminary
not applicable
Percent change calculated at thousands of dollars for current dollars, and millions of dollars for constant dollars.

Table 2

Manufacturing sales: Industry aggregates
Major group of industries January 2009 December 2009r January 2010p December 2009 to January 2010 January 2009 to January 2010
  Seasonally adjusted
  $ millions % change1
Food manufacturing 6,653 6,948 7,017 1.0 5.5
Beverage and tobacco product 899 900 920 2.2 2.3
Textile mills 148 119 139 16.8 -6.6
Textile product mills 144 141 178 25.6 23.3
Clothing manufacturing 222 174 173 -0.7 -22.2
Leather and allied product 36 34 35 4.2 -1.6
Wood product 1,415 1,482 1,507 1.7 6.5
Paper manufacturing 2,197 2,066 2,117 2.5 -3.6
Printing and related support activities 812 754 781 3.6 -3.8
Petroleum and coal product 4,663 5,685 5,876 3.4 26.0
Chemical 3,570 3,619 3,706 2.4 3.8
Plastics and rubber products 1,573 1,613 1,703 5.6 8.3
Non-metallic mineral product 941 1,010 1,083 7.2 15.1
Primary metal 3,051 3,173 3,444 8.5 12.9
Fabricated metal product 2,558 2,368 2,405 1.6 -6.0
Machinery 2,404 2,207 2,184 -1.0 -9.1
Computer and electronic product 1,537 1,368 1,425 4.2 -7.3
Electrical equipment, appliance and component 827 780 801 2.7 -3.2
Transportation equipment 5,116 7,294 7,257 -0.5 41.9
Motor vehicle 1,614 3,673 3,707 0.9 129.6
Motor vehicle body and trailer 260 221 270 21.8 3.7
Motor vehicle parts 1,135 1,665 1,679 0.9 47.9
Aerospace product and parts 1,639 1,308 1,263 -3.4 -22.9
Railroad rolling stock 131 113 54 -52.7 -59.1
Ship and boat building 80 104 110 5.4 38.0
Furniture and related product 865 888 870 -2.0 0.6
Miscellaneous manufacturing 927 925 980 6.0 5.7
Non-durable goods industries 20,916 22,053 22,644 2.7 8.3
Durable goods industries 19,641 21,494 21,956 2.2 11.8
revised
preliminary
Percent change calculated at thousands of dollars.

Table 3

Manufacturing sales: Provinces and territories
  January 2009 December 2009r January 2010p December 2009 to January 2010 January 2009 to January 2010
  Seasonally adjusted
  $ millions % change1
Canada 40,557 43,547 44,601 2.4 10.0
Newfoundland and Labrador 348 392 349 -11.0 0.3
Prince Edward Island 121 108 100 -7.2 -17.0
Nova Scotia 754 747 788 5.5 4.5
New Brunswick 1,144 1,375 1,468 6.8 28.4
Quebec 10,917 11,282 11,643 3.2 6.6
Ontario 17,481 20,016 20,431 2.1 16.9
Manitoba 1,256 1,171 1,168 -0.3 -7.0
Saskatchewan 883 923 934 1.3 5.8
Alberta 4,872 4,795 4,864 1.4 -0.2
British Columbia 2,777 2,734 2,850 4.2 2.6
Yukon 3 3 3 21.9 20.5
Northwest Territories and Nunavut 3 1 2 40.6 -28.5
revised
preliminary
Percent change calculated at thousands of dollars.