Table 14
Marginal effects of selected characteristics on probability of low and high relative earnings in new jobs compared with long-term job (LTJ) in paid employment, by age group at LTJ exit, male workers aged 50 or older, Canada, 1994 to 2010

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Marginal effects of selected characteristics on probability of low and high relative earnings in new jobs compared with long-term job (LTJ) in paid employment, by age group at LTJ exit, male workers aged 50 or older, Canada, 1994 to 2010
Table summary
This table shows results from two sets of regressions: one models the probability that earnings in post-long-term-job paid employment compared to earnings in the long-term job are low (less than 25 percent), another models the probability that this earnings ratio is high (75 percent or more). The table presents marginal effects on the probabilities described above based on coefficients estimated with probit models. The row headers list the covariates included in the models. The column headers identify the models, whether low or high earnings ratio, and the age at long-term-job exit in five-year groups for which separate models were estimated.
Characteristics Age group at LTJ exit
Low relative earnings High relative earnings
50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64
  coefficient
Number of years to re-employment (reference: 0)  
1 0.050 0.067 0.168† 0.008 0.100* 0.040
2 1.121*** 1.053*** 0.900*** -1.126*** -1.206*** -1.722***
3 1.495*** 1.288*** 1.007*** -1.241*** -1.078*** -1.009***
4 1.720*** 1.465*** 1.499*** -1.416*** -1.118*** -0.998***
5 1.555*** 1.419*** 1.424*** -1.398*** -1.409*** -1.065**
6 1.663*** 1.515*** 1.783*** -1.171*** -1.452*** ..
7 1.955*** 2.039*** 1.509*** -1.794*** .. -1.145*
8 1.688*** 2.059*** 1.615*** -1.414*** .. -1.044*
9 2.788*** 1.892*** 1.275*** -1.710*** -1.386*** -0.774
10 2.537*** 2.227*** 1.781*** .. .. ..
Reason for leaving LTJ (reference: other)  
Layoff -0.121† -0.125† 0.228† -0.227*** -0.162* -0.313†
Illness or injury 0.172 0.366 1.169** 0.064 -0.268 -0.720
Registered Pension Plan in LTJ 0.517*** 0.646*** 0.755*** -0.425*** -0.461*** -0.491***
Permanent earnings divided by $10,000 0.018*** 0.034*** 0.039* -0.020*** -0.049*** -0.035†
Sector of LTJ (reference: private)  
Public 0.479*** 0.404*** 0.241* -0.420*** -0.334*** -0.448**
Education and health 0.097† 0.425*** 0.267* -0.183*** -0.409*** -0.327*
Marital status (reference: never married)  
Married or common-law -0.077 0.076 -0.275 0.038 -0.044 -0.052
Widowed 0.053 0.280 0.304 -0.167 -0.424* -0.544
Divorced 0.062 -0.113 -0.110 -0.146 0.157 -0.072
Separated -0.239† 0.074 -0.336 0.167 0.075 -0.467
Province of residence (reference: Ontario)  
Atlantic Provinces 0.213** 0.074 -0.141 -0.120* 0.012 -0.005
Quebec -0.037 0.114* 0.369*** -0.117** -0.266*** -0.329**
Manitoba 0.027 0.274** 0.050 0.077 -0.282* -0.185
Saskatchewan 0.395** 0.205 0.771** -0.247* -0.361* -0.129
Alberta -0.236** -0.152† -0.194 0.150* 0.087 0.323†
British Columbia -0.014 0.045 0.350** 0.081 -0.072 -0.278†
Territories 0.080 -0.653 0.217 0.215 0.000 ..
..
not available for a specific reference period
***
significantly different from reference category (p<0.001)
**
significantly different from reference category (p<0.01)
*
significantly different from reference category (p<0.05)
†
significantly different from reference category (p<0.10)
Source(s):
Statistics Canada, Longitudinal Worker File, restricted sample.
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