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Wednesday, August 18, 2004

Canada's International Transactions in Securities

June 2004

Although foreign investors continued to increase their holdings of Canadian securities, acquiring $815 million in June, it was half of May's investment. June's investment was the result of purchases of Canadian money market paper as non-residents reduced holdings of both Canadian stocks and bonds.

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Meanwhile, for the first time since January, Canadian investors sold off some of their holdings of foreign securities ($1.2 billion).


Note to readers

Related market information

Interest rates

In June, Canadian short-term interest rates increased three basis points to 2.01% and US rates increased 25 basis points to 1.27%. While still favouring investment in Canada, the differential between the two countries fell to 0.74%, its lowest point since April 2002.

Canadian long-term interest rates climbed six basis points to 4.83% while US rates dropped five basis points to 4.62. This caused the differential between the two countries to increase in Canada's favour from 0.10% the month before to 0.21%.

Stock prices

Both Canadian and American stock prices increased for the second straight month in June. The S&P/TSX composite index increased 1.5% to 8,545.6 while the Standard and Poor's composite index rose 1.8% to 1,140.8. For the year, the indices were up 3.9% and 2.6% respectively.

The Canadian dollar

The Canadian dollar advanced 1.62 cents US in June ending the month at 74.97 US cents. Since the end of 2003, the Canadian dollar has lost just over 2 cents American.

Definitions

The data series on international security transactions cover portfolio transactions in stocks and bonds (both Canadian and foreign issues) and Canadian money market instruments.

Stocks include common and preferred equities, as well as warrants.

Debt securities include bonds and money market instruments.

Bonds have an original term to maturity of more than one year.

Money market instruments have an original term to maturity of one year or less. Government of Canada paper includes treasury bills and US-dollar Canada bills. Other money market instruments include treasury bills and other paper issued by other Canadian governments or their enterprises, bankers' acceptances, bearer demand notes of banks, commercial paper and other short-term paper.


Investment in Canadian money market paper continues as bonds slide

After heavy buying in May, foreign investors added a further $1.6 billion to their holdings of Canadian money market paper in June, the largest increase since November 2002. June's foreign investment was in issues of government and government enterprises as corporate paper experienced a slight decrease. Investors out of Asia were by far the biggest purchasers in June, buying $1.3 billion. Over the second quarter of 2004, foreign investors purchased $1.8 billion of Canadian money market paper—largely offsetting the $2.8 billion divested during the first quarter.

For only the second time this year, foreign investors decreased their holdings of Canadian bonds, which fell by $299 million in June. This was in contrast to the $1.7 billion purchased in May. Much of the reversal was because of $2.6 billion in net retirements, the largest amount since January 2003. Retirements of provincial government issues made up the bulk of this figure. In the second quarter of 2004, foreign investors purchased $2.3 billion in Canadian bonds compared with $2.0 billion for the previous quarter and $6.2 billion over the same quarter of last year.

Holdings of Canadian stocks down for a second straight month

Foreign holdings of Canadian stocks fell for the second straight month in June as foreign investors sold off $523 million worth. As in May, the decline was wholly concentrated in outstanding issues. Much of the decline in June was attributable to European investors shedding some of their holdings of outstanding Canadian shares. Following a robust $5.6 billion increase in the first quarter, non-residents' holdings of outstanding Canadian shares remained virtually unchanged in the second quarter of 2004. Including other transactions however, the second quarter investment by foreign investors was $18.7 billion, which included the largest Canadian takeover ever of a foreign company.

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Canadians unload foreign securities

For the first time since January of this year, Canadian investors sold off some of their holdings of foreign securities ($1.2 billion). After purchasing $1.3 billion of foreign stocks in May, Canadian investors sold $782 million in June. While Canadian investors continued to invest in US equities, they shied away from overseas stocks, selling off $1.8 billion, the biggest divestment of overseas equities since October 2002.

Following six consecutive months of purchases totalling $8.3 billion in foreign bonds, Canadians turned around and sold off $413 million in June. US treasuries, which were a favored investment for Canadians over the six months of accumulation, were the hardest hit in June with $581 million in sales.

Available on CANSIM: tables 376-0018 to 376-0029 and 376-0058.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 1532, 1534, 1535 and 1537.

The June 2004 issue of Canada's International Transactions in Securities (67-002-XIE, $15/$142) will soon be available.

Data on Canada's international transactions in securities for July 2004 will be released on September 16.

For more information or to order data, contact Client Services (613-951-1855; infobalance@statcan.gc.ca) To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact David Filiplic (613-951-1864), Balance of Payments Division.

Canada's international transactions in securities
  March 2004 April 2004 May 2004 June 2004 January to June 2003 January to June 2004
  $ millions
Foreign investment in Canadian securities 5,315 20,459 1,617 815 17,159 26,560
Bonds (net) 1,210 896 1,731 -299 15,292 4,368
Outstanding -67 1,341 -369 3,470 12,337 5,022
New issues 3,828 2,385 2,954 4,897 31,431 17,828
Retirements -2,581 -3,188 -1,465 -7,514 -28,771 -19,070
Change in interest payable1 31 358 611 -1,153 295 589
Money market paper (net) 270 -1,395 1,599 1,637 -443 -932
Government of Canada 839 -995 573 585 1,044 -1,714
Other -569 -400 1,026 1,052 -1,487 782
Stocks (net) 3,836 20,958 -1,712 -523 2,310 23,123
Outstanding 3,215 2,441 -1,819 -566 1,882 5,685
Other transactions 620 18,517 107 42 428 17,438
Canadian investment in foreign securities -1,012 -1,520 -3,439 1,195 -4,554 -6,100
Bonds (net) -1,023 -1,347 -2,091 413 -6,164 -5,638
Stocks (net) 12 -173 -1,348 782 1,611 -462
1.Interest accrued less interest paid.
Note: A minus sign (-) indicates an outflow of money from Canada, that is, a withdrawal of foreign investment from Canada or an increase in Canadian investment abroad.



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Date Modified: 2004-08-18 Important Notices