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Thursday, November 18, 2004

Canada's international transactions in securities

September 2004

Foreign investment in Canadian securities swelled by $7.4 billion in September, most of which was in purchases of Canadian stock.

Meanwhile, Canadians invested $4.1 billion in foreign securities, their biggest investment since November 2002, with over three-quarters going to foreign bonds.

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Market related information

Both Canadian and US short-term interest rates increased in September. Canadian rates increased 32 basis points to 2.45% while US rates increased 17 basis points to 1.65% causing the differential between the two countries to increase to 0.80%.

Meanwhile, Canadian and US long-term rates both declined with Canadian rates falling 10 basis points to 4.58% while US rates fell 16 points to 4.10%. As a result, the differential between the two increased marginally to 0.48%, continuing to favour investment in Canada.

After two months of losses, Canadian stock prices increased as the S&P/TSX Composite index rose 3.5% ending September at 8,668.3. US stock prices were little changed with the Standard and Poor's Composite Index rising 0.9% to finish the month at 1,114.6.

The Canadian dollar surged in September rising over 3 US cents over the month to close at 79.26 US cents. It was the largest one month increase since May 2003.

Definitions

The data series on international security transactions cover portfolio transactions in stocks and bonds (both Canadian and foreign issues) and Canadian money market instruments.

Stocks include common and preferred equities, as well as warrants.

Debt securities include bonds and money market instruments.

Bonds have an original term to maturity of more than one year.

Money market instruments have an original term to maturity of one year or less. Government of Canada paper includes treasury bills and US-dollar Canada bills. Other money market instruments include treasury bills and other paper issued by other Canadian governments or their enterprises, bankers' acceptances, bearer demand notes of banks, commercial paper and other short-term paper.


Foreign investors acquire sizable amount of Canadian equities

Foreign holdings of Canadian stocks surged by $5.2 billion in September, due in part to special events surrounding two large Canadian businesses. The single largest share offering in Canadian history and a corporate restructuring helped push foreign investment in Canadian stocks to its highest level since April of this year.

US investors were the dominant purchasers as they bought $4.0 billion worth. Of the $5.2 billion, $3.6 billion was in purchases of outstanding shares, the largest investment in the secondary market since March 2000. The remainder ($1.6 billion) was invested in other transactions, mostly new issues.

Foreign investors increase their holdings of Canadian debt

Non-residents purchased $1.9 billion in Canadian bonds in September, virtually unchanged from their investment in August. Purchases came entirely out of Europe where investors there picked up $3.2 billion worth as the rest of the world divested some $1.3 billion of their holdings of Canadian bonds. The bulk of September's investment was in net new issues ($1.4 billion) with issues of federal government enterprises leading the way.

On a quarterly basis, non-resident investors have purchased $6.6 billion worth of Canadian bonds over the third quarter of 2004, the largest since the first quarter of 2003. Purchases of corporate bonds accounted for much of the quarter with investments totalling $4.7 billion.

After two months of selling off their holdings, foreign investors returned to purchasing Canadian money market paper. Investment in September totalled $375 million, coming solely from issues of federal government enterprises. British investors were the primary purchasers, investing $324 million over the month.

For the first nine months of 2004, investors reduced their holdings of money market paper by $3.1 billion, similar to their divestment of $2.4 billion over the same period in 2003.

Canadian investors substantially increase their holdings of foreign securities

Canadian investors regained their appetite for foreign securities in September as they purchased $4.1 billion after offloading $1.2 billion in August. September's total was the highest since November 2002. Bonds made up the majority of September's purchases with Canadian investors buying $3.2 billion worth, with two-thirds of that going into US treasuries. The remaining one-third went to overseas bonds. Meanwhile purchases of foreign stocks totalled $905 million for the month.

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Available on CANSIM: tables 376-0018 to 376-0029 and 376-0058.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey numbers, including related surveys, 1532, 1534, 1535 and 1537.

The September 2004 issue of Canada's International Transactions in Securities (67-002-XIE, $15/$142) will soon be available.

Data on Canada's international transactions in securities for October 2004 will be released on December 16.

For general information or to order data, contact Client Services (613-951-1855; infobalance@statcan.gc.ca.) To enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact David Filiplic (613-951-1864), Balance of Payments Division.

Canada's international transactions in securities
  June 2004 July 2004 August 2004 September 2004 January to September 2003 January to September 2004
  $ millions
Foreign investment in Canadian securities 1,762 2,650 744 7,447 8,339 39,596
Bonds (net) 511 2,663 2,058 1,911 3,052 13,074
Outstanding 3,470 -207 -678 543 269 4,680
New issues 5,514 5,155 3,592 4,450 40,366 33,201
Retirements -7,295 -2,350 -1,442 -3,030 -38,508 -25,979
Change in interest payable1 -1,178 65 586 -52 926 1,171
Money market paper (net) 1,637 -632 -1,879 375 -2,417 -3,068
Government of Canada 585 -858 -583 -269 1,082 -3,424
Other 1,052 226 -1,295 644 -3,499 356
Stocks (net) -387 619 565 5,161 7,704 29,590
Outstanding -332 567 -95 3,554 6,790 9,944
Other transactions -54 52 660 1,607 914 19,646
Canadian investment in foreign securities 1,052 -575 1,217 -4,104 -7,365 -9,988
Bonds (net) 403 -461 630 -3,199 -6,170 -8,700
Stocks (net) 649 -114 587 -905 -1,196 -1,289
1. Interest accrued less interest paid.
Note:A minus sign (-) indicates an outflow of money from Canada , that is, a withdrawal of foreign investment from Canada or an increase in Canadian investment abroad.



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Date Modified: 2004-11-18 Important Notices