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Canadian hoteliers' business expectations for the third quarter of 2009 were negative relative to their business performance during the same quarter a year earlier. Their negative outlook was similar to that observed in the previous two quarters.
Over three-quarters (76%) of hoteliers expected the number of room nights booked and occupancy rates to be lower than they were in the third quarter of 2008. In contrast, 5% expected higher bookings and occupancy.
Similarly, 74% anticipated fewer corporate travellers this summer. Two-thirds of respondents expected that the number of hours worked by their employees would decline.
Well over half (62%) of hotel managers reported that they expected average daily room rates to be lower, while 7% anticipated rates would be higher. This is the third consecutive quarter in which more respondents have expected lower room rates than higher.
The most commonly-cited business impediment reported by hoteliers was regional economic conditions, which was the case in the previous two quarters. The next two most-cited were excess room supply (37%) and exchange rate fluctuations (34%).
Note: The Business Conditions Survey for the traveller accommodation industries is a voluntary survey sent to 1,478 businesses, mostly hotels. The survey was sent during the last week of June to mid-July 2009 to assess the third quarter outlook for key indicators compared with the same period last year. These indicators include bookings, occupancy rates, average daily room rates, hours worked by employees, and number of corporate travellers.
Results are based on survey questionnaires sent to traveller accommodation providers and are weighted by their operating revenues.
The survey is made possible with the support of industry partners, the Canadian Tourism Commission, the Ontario Ministry of Tourism, Tourism Saskatchewan, Nova Scotia Department of Tourism, Culture and Heritage and Industry Canada.
Available on CANSIM: tables 351-0004 and 351-0005.
Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 5050.
For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Irene Ross (613-951-6305; fax: 613-951-6696; irene.ross@statcan.gc.ca) or Joan Farnworth (613-951-6303; joan.farnworth@statcan.gc.ca), Service Industries Division.
Third quarter 2008 | Fourth quarter 2008 | First quarter 2009 | Second quarter 2009 | Third quarter 2009 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | |||||
Anticipated number of room nights booked: | |||||
About the same | 37 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 19 |
Higher | 12 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Lower | 51 | 47 | 67 | 78 | 76 |
Balance of opinion | -39 | -37 | -60 | -75 | -70 |
Anticipated occupancy rate: | |||||
About the same | 38 | 46 | 26 | 18 | 18 |
Higher | 14 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
Lower | 49 | 44 | 66 | 78 | 76 |
Balance of opinion | -35 | -33 | -59 | -74 | -71 |
Anticipated number of corporate and/or commercial travellers in this business unit: | |||||
About the same | 46 | 54 | 31 | 24 | 24 |
Higher | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Lower | 42 | 36 | 65 | 73 | 74 |
Balance of opinion | -31 | -27 | -61 | -70 | -71 |
Anticipated average daily room rate: | |||||
About the same | 35 | 46 | 50 | 33 | 31 |
Higher | 34 | 27 | 13 | 10 | 7 |
Lower | 31 | 27 | 37 | 57 | 62 |
Balance of opinion | 3 | 0 | -23 | -46 | -55 |
Anticipated total number of hours worked by employees in this business unit: | |||||
About the same | 53 | 56 | 35 | 26 | 32 |
Higher | 13 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Lower | 34 | 34 | 63 | 72 | 66 |
Balance of opinion | -20 | -24 | -61 | -71 | -64 |
Second quarter 2008 | Third quarter 2008 | Fourth quarter 2008 | First quarter 2009 | Second quarter 2009 | |
% | |||||
Business impediments | |||||
Regional economic conditions | 23 | 29 | 46 | 54 | 66 |
Excess room supply | 26 | 27 | 32 | 36 | 37 |
Exchange rate fluctuations | 53 | 46 | 40 | 28 | 34 |
Lack of attractions or complementary facilities in the vicinity | 17 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
Public health | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
Shortage of skilled labour | 27 | 28 | 19 | 11 | 13 |
Canada's reputation as a desired tourist destination | 17 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 13 |
Shortage of unskilled labour | 28 | 31 | 16 | 10 | 11 |
Abnormal weather and/or natural disasters | 8 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 10 |
Security concerns | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
No difficulties at this time | 17 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 8 |