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Business Conditions Survey: Traveller accommodation industries

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Third quarter 2009 (outlook) (Previous release)

Canadian hoteliers' business expectations for the third quarter of 2009 were negative relative to their business performance during the same quarter a year earlier. Their negative outlook was similar to that observed in the previous two quarters.

Over three-quarters (76%) of hoteliers expected the number of room nights booked and occupancy rates to be lower than they were in the third quarter of 2008. In contrast, 5% expected higher bookings and occupancy.

Similarly, 74% anticipated fewer corporate travellers this summer. Two-thirds of respondents expected that the number of hours worked by their employees would decline.

Well over half (62%) of hotel managers reported that they expected average daily room rates to be lower, while 7% anticipated rates would be higher. This is the third consecutive quarter in which more respondents have expected lower room rates than higher.

The most commonly-cited business impediment reported by hoteliers was regional economic conditions, which was the case in the previous two quarters. The next two most-cited were excess room supply (37%) and exchange rate fluctuations (34%).

Note: The Business Conditions Survey for the traveller accommodation industries is a voluntary survey sent to 1,478 businesses, mostly hotels. The survey was sent during the last week of June to mid-July 2009 to assess the third quarter outlook for key indicators compared with the same period last year. These indicators include bookings, occupancy rates, average daily room rates, hours worked by employees, and number of corporate travellers.

Results are based on survey questionnaires sent to traveller accommodation providers and are weighted by their operating revenues.

The survey is made possible with the support of industry partners, the Canadian Tourism Commission, the Ontario Ministry of Tourism, Tourism Saskatchewan, Nova Scotia Department of Tourism, Culture and Heritage and Industry Canada.

Available on CANSIM: tables 351-0004 and 351-0005.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 5050.

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact Irene Ross (613-951-6305; fax: 613-951-6696; irene.ross@statcan.gc.ca) or Joan Farnworth (613-951-6303; joan.farnworth@statcan.gc.ca), Service Industries Division.

Table 1

Traveller accommodation industries
  Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter 2008 First quarter 2009 Second quarter 2009 Third quarter 2009
  %
Anticipated number of room nights booked:          
About the same 37 44 26 18 19
Higher 12 10 7 3 5
Lower 51 47 67 78 76
Balance of opinion -39 -37 -60 -75 -70
Anticipated occupancy rate:          
About the same 38 46 26 18 18
Higher 14 10 8 4 5
Lower 49 44 66 78 76
Balance of opinion -35 -33 -59 -74 -71
Anticipated number of corporate and/or commercial travellers in this business unit:          
About the same 46 54 31 24 24
Higher 12 10 4 3 3
Lower 42 36 65 73 74
Balance of opinion -31 -27 -61 -70 -71
Anticipated average daily room rate:          
About the same 35 46 50 33 31
Higher 34 27 13 10 7
Lower 31 27 37 57 62
Balance of opinion 3 0 -23 -46 -55
Anticipated total number of hours worked by employees in this business unit:          
About the same 53 56 35 26 32
Higher 13 10 2 2 2
Lower 34 34 63 72 66
Balance of opinion -20 -24 -61 -71 -64
  Second quarter 2008 Third quarter 2008 Fourth quarter  2008 First quarter 2009 Second quarter 2009
  %
Business impediments          
Regional economic conditions 23 29 46 54 66
Excess room supply 26 27 32 36 37
Exchange rate fluctuations 53 46 40 28 34
Lack of attractions or complementary facilities in the vicinity 17 16 19 20 21
Public health 0 1 1 0 15
Shortage of skilled labour 27 28 19 11 13
Canada's reputation as a desired tourist destination 17 16 15 10 13
Shortage of unskilled labour 28 31 16 10 11
Abnormal weather and/or natural disasters 8 9 19 8 10
Security concerns 4 3 5 3 3
No difficulties at this time 17 17 15 10 8
Note(s):
Results have been rounded.