Modern random digit dial (RDD) telephone surveys in the U.S. use two samples: a sample of
landlines and a sample of cell-phone lines. Wolter, Smith and Blumberg (2010)
provide the statistical foundations for such dual-frame telephone surveys. The
present article builds on that work and demonstrates the considerations and
statistical methods for allocating the total survey resources to the two
sampling frames.
Because it is less
costly on a per-unit basis and has a longer history of use, the landline sample
is often the larger sample and the survey interview is attempted for all
respondents in this sample. The interviewing protocol for the smaller
cell-phone sample is configured in one of two ways: (1) attempt to complete the
survey interview for all responding persons, or (2) conduct a brief screening
interview to ascertain the telephone status of the respondent, and then attempt
to complete the survey interview only for respondents whose telephone status is
classified as cell-phone-only (CPO) (i.e., respondents who report in the
screening interview that they do not have a working landline in their
household). (Within the screening approach there are variations, such as
interviewing both CPO respondents and others who report that there is a
landline in the household but they are not reachable through the landline.) As
the size of the landline-only (LLO) population (i.e., persons who have a
working landline telephone in the household but do not have access to a cell
phone) declines over time (Blumberg and Luke 2010), survey statisticians may
consider new designs in which the cell-phone sample is the larger sample and
all respondents are interviewed, while the interviewing protocol for the smaller
landline sample calls for screening or taking all respondents. Yet in this
article, we focus on the prevailing circumstances in the last several years in
which the cell-phone sample is typically the smaller sample and a take-all or
screening protocol is used for respondents in this sample.
We shall develop
the methods for optimum allocation under ideal assumptions that the sample
sizes refer to completed cases (i.e., no nonresponse); that there is
essentially a one-to-one relationship between the sampling units (telephone
numbers) and the analytical units (e.g., households) in the landline
population; that there is essentially a one-to-one relationship between the
sampling units and the analytical units in the cell-phone population; and that
all units in the target population are included in at least one of the two
sampling frames. Given these assumptions, each and every specific analytic unit
is linked to a landline, a cell-phone line, or both a landline and a cell-phone
line, and is linked to at most one landline and at most one cell-phone line.
Most of the
previous literature on dual-frame surveys studies estimation procedures rather
than the question of allocation of the sample size to the various sampling
frames, including Hartley (1962, 1974); Fuller and Burmeister (1972); Skinner and
Rao (1996); and Lohr and Rao (2000, 2006). Biemer (1984) and Lepkowski and
Groves (1986) looked at allocation when one frame is a subset of the other
frame, as might be the case with an area sample supplemented by a special list.
To begin, we establish our notation and
assumptions. Let
be the landline population and
the cell-phone population. The
overall population of interest is
Some units have both a landline
and a cell phone (the dual-user population), while others have only a landline
(the LLO population) or only a cell phone (the CPO population), and thus the
two populations overlap as follows:
and
is the LLO domain,
is the CPO domain, and
is the dual-user domain. The
population sizes are
and
We denote the proportions in the
overlap (or dual-user) population by
and
Let
be a simple random sample without
replacement selected from
let
be a simple random sample without
replacement selected from
and let
and
be the sample sizes (i.e.,
completed interviews). We assume that domain membership
is not known at the time of
sampling.
Let
be a variable of interest for the
unit in the overall population.
The population domain means and variance components are denoted by
and
We take the goal of the survey to
be the estimation of the overall population total
In what follows, we derive the optimum
allocation given the take-all protocol and the screening protocols in Section 2 and Section 3, respectively. Section 4 compares the two protocols in terms of
efficiency and cost and attempts to provide guidance about the circumstances
under which each protocol is better. The section also explores the optimum
choice of a mixing parameter
which is used to combine the
estimators from the two samples
that represent the dual-user
population. Section 5 applies the methods to the National Immunization Survey, a large dual-frame telephone survey
sponsored by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The article
closes with a brief summary in Section 6.
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