Appendix Table A5
Population growth model: weighted regression, 1981 to 2006
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| Dependent: Logarithm of ratio of 2006 population divided by 1981 population | All communities | All communities plus macro-regions | All communities plus provinces | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | t-stat | β | t-stat | β | t-stat | |
| Intercept | -1.9051 | -2.150 | -2.0671 | -2.170 | -1.8351 | -1.90 |
| Presence of agriculture (dummy) | 0.032 | 0.870 | 0.034 | 0.950 | 0.016 | 0.440 |
| Community agriculture (ln) | 0.0481 | 4.160 | 0.0591 | 5.110 | 0.0601 | 5.200 |
| Regional agriculture (ln) | -0.0611 | -3.700 | -0.0811 | -4.700 | -0.1141 | -4.440 |
| Presence of other primary sectors (dummy) | 0.001 | 0.060 | 0.013 | 0.650 | 0.015 | 0.720 |
| Community other primary sectors (ln) | -0.0231 | -1.930 | -0.0211 | -1.780 | -0.0221 | -1.920 |
| Regional other primary sector (ln) | -0.002 | -0.110 | 0.021 | 1.050 | 0.009 | 0.450 |
| Presence of distributive services (dummy) | -0.2261 | -1.810 | -0.3121 | -2.540 | -0.3181 | -2.570 |
| Community distributive services (ln) | 0.1151 | 3.340 | 0.1401 | 4.200 | 0.1421 | 4.300 |
| Regional distributive services (ln) | -0.095 | -0.900 | -0.073 | -0.720 | -0.110 | -1.140 |
| Presence of producer services (dummy) | -0.0841 | -2.000 | -0.0891 | -2.140 | -0.1041 | -2.600 |
| Community producer services (ln) | 0.0521 | 2.140 | 0.0491 | 2.080 | 0.0541 | 2.310 |
| Regional producer services (ln) | -0.054 | -1.170 | 0.016 | 0.320 | -0.022 | -0.470 |
| Local population density (ln) | -0.001 | -0.060 | -0.005 | -0.520 | -0.004 | -0.380 |
| Regional population density (ln) | -0.0341 | -3.010 | -0.0671 | -5.020 | -0.0721 | -5.130 |
| Size of nearest agglomeration (ln) | 0.0281 | 2.610 | 0.0301 | 3.110 | 0.0321 | 3.340 |
| Distance to larger agglomeration (ln) | -0.0691 | -5.830 | -0.0841 | -6.000 | -0.0801 | -5.370 |
| Distance to smaller agglomeration (ln) | -0.0171 | -3.590 | -0.0221 | -4.310 | -0.0201 | -3.980 |
| Community economic specialization (ln) | -0.1611 | -2.90 | -0.2111 | -3.690 | -0.2291 | -4.140 |
| Regional economic specialization (ln) | -0.2411 | -3.480 | -0.116 | -1.510 | -0.074 | -0.810 |
| Community educational attainment (ln) | 0.059 | 1.370 | 0.065 | 1.530 | 0.063 | 1.480 |
| Regional educational attainment (ln) | 0.4141 | 4.920 | 0.6321 | 6.750 | 0.5941 | 6.230 |
| Community labour force participation rate (ln) | 0.170 | 1.300 | 0.090 | 0.680 | 0.131 | 1.020 |
| Regional labour force participation rate (ln) | -0.333 | -1.580 | -0.337 | -1.550 | -0.364 | -1.640 |
| Population less than 15 years of age (ln) | 0.3301 | 2.990 | 0.2641 | 2.360 | 0.3061 | 2.790 |
| Population 55 to 74 years of age (ln) | -0.1101 | -1.840 | -0.1381 | -2.240 | -0.1321 | -2.180 |
| Presence of young in-comers (dummy) | -0.1531 | -1.940 | -0.1941 | -2.390 | -0.221 | -2.760 |
| Young who recently moved in (ln) | 0.038 | 1.550 | 0.0551 | 2.190 | 0.0661 | 2.670 |
| Presence of senior in-comers (dummy) | -0.3281 | -6.770 | -0.3491 | -7.190 | -0.3441 | -6.810 |
| Seniosr who recently moved in (ln) | 0.1921 | 10.100 | 0.1991 | 10.440 | 0.1951 | 10.250 |
| Presence of Aboriginal population (dummy) | -0.004 | -0.230 | -0.002 | -0.100 | -0.001 | -0.060 |
| Aboriginal population (ln) | -0.0191 | -2.070 | -0.013 | -1.40 | -0.015 | -1.610 |
| Atlantic | ... | ... | 0.1631 | 3.060 | ... | ... |
| Quebec | ... | ... | 0.2171 | 3.850 | ... | ... |
| Ontario | ... | ... | 0.2271 | 4.720 | ... | ... |
| Manitoba / Saskatchewan | ... | ... | 0.0961 | 1.690 | ... | ... |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | ... | ... | ... | ... | -0.043 | -0.510 |
| Prince Edward Island | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.098 | 1.440 |
| Nova Scotia | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.1761 | 2.850 |
| New Brunswick | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.1581 | 2.500 |
| Quebec | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.1951 | 2.920 |
| Ontario | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.2141 | 3.790 |
| Manitoba | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.098 | 1.160 |
| Saskatchewan | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.058 | 0.570 |
| Alberta | ... | ... | ... | ... | 0.015 | 0.250 |
| R2 | 0.620 | ... | 0.640 | ... | 0.640 | ... |
| Number of observations (CCSs) | 2,382 | ... | 2,382 | ... | 2,382 | ... |
|
1. Figures in bold indicate statistical significance at the 10% significance level or higher; White robust standard errors are used to account for the possible failure of the assumption of normality and homogeneity of the variance of the residuals (Stock and Watson, 2007). Note: Variable definitions are presented in Appendix Table A1. CCSs: Census Consolidated Subdivisions Source: Author's estimation based on 1981 and 2006 Census of Population data. |
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