Table 1
Spatial autoregression model for violent and property crime rates,1 youth aged 12 to 17, Montréal neighbourhoods, 2001

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  Violent crime rate2 Property crime rate2
regression coefficient (b)
Number of students attending a school in the neighbourhood 0.49*** 0.19**
Commercial zoning percentage 0.22*** 0.37***
Percentage of persons with a university degree -0.25**
Percentage of persons without a secondary school diploma 0.14*
Percentage of recent immigrants (arrived between 1991 and 2001) -0.33***
Percentage of the population that belongs to a visible minority 0.29***
Percentage of persons in low-income households 0.25***
Male/female ratio -0.19**
Percentage of persons who lived in another neighbourhood in 1996 0.25***
Percentage of dwellings in need of major repairs 0.13*
Spatial lag variable 0.31* 0.39*
Correlation squared (r2) 0.23 0.14
* p<0.05.
** p<0.01.
*** p<0.001.
1. Police-reported violent and property crime rates, based on the number of residents aged 12 to 17 (log transformed). Based on the 506 census tracts (CTs) with more than 250 residents.
2. Regression models include intercept.
Note: Variables are standardized z-scores.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Canadian Centre for Justice Statistics, Uniform Crime Reporting Survey, UCR 2.2, geocoded database, 2001 and  2001 Census; 2005 zoning data, Communauté métropolitaine de Montréal; Ministère de l'éducation, du loisir et du sport du Québec, school attendance data, 2002/2003.