Data quality, concepts and methodology: Methodology and data quality
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The methods used for these population projections are explained in detail in section 1– Methods and assumptions –and section 2 – Selection of scenarios – of this document. Users will also find in these sections information relating to data quality.
It is also worth noting that the accuracy of any projection is conditional on the reliability of the base population estimates, the component data, and the degree to which the underlying assumptions correspond to future trends. Projections are not predictions; they are instead an effort to create plausible scenarios based on assumptions regarding the components of population growth, which are themselves subject to uncertainty. Accordingly, it cannot be claimed that the values observed in the coming years will always remain within the range implied by the low-growth and high-growth scenarios.
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