Research blog: Projecting the future of health in Canada using microsimulation modelling
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Released: 2018-11-09
Planning a health system that best serves Canadians, now and in the future, means figuring out what future health care scenarios might look like. This month, the StatCan Blog examines the important questions faced by those in policy, planning and delivery of health care services, as they work together to determine the challenges they are going to face, as well as the resources they are going to need to deal with those challenges.
Many of the answers they seek can be found as a result of dynamic microsimulation modelling, something in use in a wide variety of fields including engineering and environmental science, economics, and, increasingly, in health.
This kind of modelling takes information on large samples of individuals and combines it with their behaviours, states and actions over time to project the socioeconomic and demographic developments of society over the coming years. The result is a key tool that allows us to glimpse future possibilities and map out a system for tomorrow.
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